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2012 Poll Watch – GOP Presidential Candidates

Latest poll update on the Republican field. First we have this one from CNN which shows Daniels at 5%. Quite interesting since he isn’t known well enough by many to form an opinion on him:

They also included the “do you view the following candidate favorably or unfavorably” question:

Favorable / Unfavorable

  • Mike Huckabee: 46% / 27%
  • Mitt Romney: 40% / 30%
  • Sarah Palin: 35% / 59%
  • Donald Trump: 31% / 64%
  • Ron Paul: 30% / 27%
  • Newt Gingrich: 30% / 44%
  • Michele Bachmann: 22% / 23%
  • Tim Pawlenty: 17% / 18%
  • Mitch Daniels: 14% / 15%
  • Rick Santorum: 16% / 19%
  • John Huntsman: 9% / 13%

You notice who wasn’t included in the poll?

On to this Gallop poll on the issues for Republicans, and another weird one. They only included three Republican names:

When you think about politics, which of the following sets of issues is most important to you?

  • Government spending and power 37%
  • Business and the economy 36%
  • Social issues and moral values 15%
  • National security and foreign policy 12%

Among those who say government spending and power are most important issues

  • Mike Huckabee 19%
  • Mitt Romney 17%
  • Sarah Palin 9%

Among those who say business and the economy are most important issues

  • Mitt Romney 18%
  • Mike Huckabee 15%
  • Sarah Palin 14%

Among those who say social issues and moral values are most important issues

  • Mike Huckabee 26%
  • Sarah Palin 18%
  • Mitt Romney 8%

Among those who say national security and foreign policy are most important issues

  • Sarah Palin 19%
  • Mike Huckabee 18%
  • Mitt Romney 16%

Basically a tie amongst all three except for the social issues where Huckabee has a strong lead.

Here are two regional polls. A New York poll done by Marist College Institute for Public Opinion gauging the interest in their “favorite son” Guiliani:

The field of possible 2012 Republican presidential candidates is wide. But, given the choice, about one in four New York State Republican voters — 23% — report they would back former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and one in five — 20% — say they would support former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney. Here is how the field stands among these Republican voters:

• 23% for former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani
• 20% for former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney
• 12% for former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin
• 10% for former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee
• 7% for Businessman Donald Trump
• 7% for Texas Congressman Ron Paul
• 3% for former Georgia Congressman Newt Gingrich
• 2% for Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty
• 2% for Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels
• 2% for Businessman Herman Cain
• 1% for Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann
• 1% for former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum
• Fewer than 1% for former U.S. Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman
• Fewer than 1% for former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson
• 10% are undecided

Only 205 people were polled so take it for what it’s worth.

Lastly here is a Missouri done by PPP:

Huckabee leads the pack in Missouri so far.

Donald Trump’s emergence has taken a huge hit on Newt Gingrich’s and Sarah Palin’s support. Mike Huckabee (28%) and Mitt Romney (13%) are treading water since January, but Trump’s 12% has knocked Gingrich from 19% to 10% and Palin from 14% to 8%, with Michele Bachmann at 9%, Ron Paul at 6%, and Tim Pawlenty at 5%.

Think Huckabee will be getting into the race? I think it’s a foregone conclusion.

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