Don’t Count McCain Out!

This poll was the one that was the closest in predicting the 2004 race. I strongly believe there is a silent majority out there that will put McCain over the top. And remember how Obama always underperformed against Hillary?

this scares me. i am so hoping for a mccain palin win. i am getting so stressed out. can’t people see that obama is almost as bad as hitler? how caqn they let our nation fall to the likes of this man? is power that important? jesus, i hate this shit.

McCain/Palin will win this election. There is no doubt in my mind. Americans are not stupid enough to vote for a President that hates America. NO WAY!

Come on Mata, Schieffer is talking about Nazis and how they won the election thru the ballot box. He is clearly taking about Obama’s Acorn fraud.

Luva, tell you Jewish friend that if Obama wins, it will be the downfall of Israel. Maybe he won’t care; there is a new group of Israeli leftists who hates Israel just as much as American leftists hates the States. I would guess he is one of them. I have many Jewish friends in New-York, they would never vote for Obama, they like Israel too much.

You want a boosting?
9 good reasons to stay very optimistic.

OBAMA HAS PEAKED, McCAIN WILL WIN ON TUESDAY
By Christopher Cook
http://modernconservative.com/metablog_single.php?p=2416

Mike you sound like you believe the polls that count 10% more Democraps! Keep hope alive, wait a minute I’m begining to sound like Jesse Jackson, got to watch that.

I don’t think the McCain chances are narrow at all. Here’s why;

1) When you see the breakdowns of those polled on many of the polls (CNN, Gallup, etceteras), the demographics show a higher percentage of those polled admitting they were Democrats than exists in the actual American cross-section of political parties and based on past voting history. Often in the high 40’s-up to-60% for Democrats and I’ve seen 20-35% for Republicans. This skews poll results. Still when you compare those polled to the poll percentages results being released, the percentages are lower than they should be for Obama. This indicates a McCain advantage.
2) Most of these polls are conducted over the phone, which makes it personable. The people being polled have no way of knowing if the pollsters have their names, and home addresses. If your number is listed, it’s pretty easy to get that info off the internet. With all the cries of racism should you not say you’re voting for Obama, that brings up a valid fear in people that they might be targeted if they do not give a “Politically-Correct response”. We’ll call this the “Fear Factor” of polling. This is not the same thing as the “Bradley Effect”, but pretty darn close. If you’re voting for Obama, you have nothing to fear. Some will say they are undecided when in fact they are not and will vote differently once they are safely behind the curtain at the voting booth. Others may claim their intentions to vote for Obama falsely. And still other refusing to commit over the phone, again perhaps due to that “Fear Factor”. There is also the problem where pollsters are assuming voters will say only either McCain or Obama. They aren’t even asking about third party candidates. Thus, most “undecideds” in the polls at this point are likely McCain-Palin or Independent party voters. Advantage McCain.
3) Even with the independent studio audience immediate polls following the debates I saw a lot of nervousness on the faces of those people. They knew they were being televised and I think likely afraid someone might recognize them in public and make trouble for them afterward. Again the “Fear Factor” issue. Advantage McCain.
4) The media which has been very biased up until this last week is now turning around and asking fewer “softball” questions. Now posing questions they’ve previously overlooked. It seems like they know something they don’t want to reveal and are now trying to cover their butts in the last hours to try to salvage viewers after this election. Advantage McCain.
5) Obama and the Democrats were pushing hard to get people to vote early, banking on early results to convince voters it isn’t worth their time to vote because it looks like Obama would win. After all this in Ohio a couple of weeks ago, they only managed to get 5,000 people to show up instead of the 30,000-50,000 they were counting on. And McCain still pulled in 35% of those votes. The Republicans have been pushing to vote, but not necessarily to vote early. Early voters are more likely to be younger voters with busier lifestyles voting Democrat. But they didn’t turn out as the Dems expected. Older folks have trouble with paper ballots, especially with the “fine print” instructions. They are afraid they’ll make mistakes and don’t trust them. They prefer the old-fashioned way with the machines because you only have to read the names and make your selection. Granted, as of Friday, the early voting has gone up, due mostly of the complaints on how long it may take to get in to vote and in line times of up to 8 hours, but I haven’t seen any new totals being given. Advantage McCain.
6) Fatal Democratic voter psychology flaw. If you’re a Dem and tell people your candidate has pretty much already won, lazy people in your base decide there’s no point in them wasting their precious time coming out to add to the “landslide”.
7) If this election were already in the bag, there would be little need for the moonbats to still be popping up and even in larger numbers. They’re coming out of the woodwork now like roaches after insecticide bombing a house. Advantage McCain.

I still have high hopes of a McCain-Palin victory.

Rocky, How about a number 8? Rush/Operation Chaos. The dems are over-polled because more dems are registered to vote. Republicans that registered dem and voted for Hillary or Obama in the dem primaries are not going to vote for Obama now. #9. Then knock off the PUMA voters, they may be dem, but last I saw any figures, 35% of Hillary voters are voting for McCain or not voting.

Just a couple of examples of why polling is, has and will be, off. McCain must know he’s got a good shot.

Excellent point on #8 Leah;
I hadn’t figured in the “OPERATION CHAOS” factor of those who registered Dem to vote in the primaries. Yes indeed they would still be listed as Democrats walking into the general election polls to vote Republican until after their vote gets them re-assigned. Just like as an independent I still show up as a Republican because there are fewer Indy candidate running. so since the majority of my votes go for a Repub, it’s not an incorrect label. Of course, for the top seat in this election it’s a really bad idea for us Indies to make a statement and risk getting a socialist in charge.

Both that and your #9 with the PUMA votes for McCain are monkey wrenches in the works. The MEdia would be fools to call the vote on voter turn-out demagraphics rather than actual votes. It would put another, “DEWEY WINS”, gaffe on their part to call it for Obama solely on turn out and not actual votes.

CentFla;
From what I’ve read posted on FA, we’ve been comparing Obama’s CAMPAIGN to Hitler’s. Not specifically to Acorn’s involvement in it, but more to Hitler’s charismatic style. And Obama has targeted that same voting block, which is supportive of a comparison.

However this study, published in the Journal of Economic History, identifies a set of people – “the working poor” – who stood to benefit most from Nazi policies. It also confirms that they voted proportionally more for the Nazis.

Hitler did defraud the German people as he made them numerous promises to get elected that he never intended to keep. A tactic not exclusive to Democrats, but arguably used most often by them to get votes. That’s a page right out of standard Socialist campaigning. Bush Sr. made the promise of no new taxes and Dems in Congress made damned sure he would eat those words. Clinton promised tax cuts he never delivered on. Obama is the biggest liar yet though. He’s promised 95% of Americans they will be rewarded for voting for him by getting wealth redistribution checks of $500 (i.e. Attempting to buy votes). Yet, if you look closely at ALL of his positions, and the resulting cause and effects, everyone would come out much worst financially under his administration including everyone in that 95% group. Once he doubles or triples energy costs to the consumers, that will be more than enough to wipe out those $500 checks and more. In addition, there will be fewer jobs due to labor cuts to pay for increased taxes and other hidden taxes from unfunded government mandates on the states such as his education policies to increase the number of teachers, their pay, and the number of or sizes of schools. Most of the jobs Obama will create would be in larger Federal bureaucracies for spending programs.

In your second link to refute my point #5, you didn’t include the following from that same report:

Voters can always cross party lines and no vote totals are announced until Election Day, but the early indications clearly favor Obama. It is unclear, however, whether they will translate into success on Nov. 4 because never before have so many Americans cast their votes before Election Day.

I don’t see how that source report contradicts my #5 point that Dems are voting early in higher numbers than Republicans. In fact, your source actually supports my opinion as can be seen in this portion also not quoted:

Democrats outnumber Republicans among early voters in Iowa, North Carolina, Florida, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada, according to statistics from election and party officials in those states. Bush won all six in 2004, and McCain needs to win most of them to claim the White House this year.

And as Leah points out, people will be crossing party lines in large numbers. The media polls are being based on turn-out, not actual votes. Yet the media will relay whichever they want to and they likely will. But, it would be a mistake for them to call the election before the Electoral College announces and the Electoral College “is supposed to” go by actual votes, not turn-out numbers. (I say “is supposed to” because there is always a chanch that Electoral College delegates might ignore the popular vote and vote how THEY want. But there would be hell to pay this election if they did.)

Yes Repubs have put out some encouragement to vote early, but more emphasis to vote-period. And not paid nearly as much attention on it as the Dems have. The Dems have to push it harder because they go after their younger voter base; who may register, but are notoriously bad about showing up to vote.

My point is; I don’t want people getting the idea and becoming discouraged and not showing up to vote McCain-Palin. This is the most important election of our lives as an Obama-Biden administration and 2/3 Democratic congressional majority could spell ruin for America.

Get off your collective butts and go out and vote McCain-Palin to protect your children’s and children’s children’s future. Do not give up.

One last point;
IMHO the time has long passed when the Electoral College should have been dissolved as an entity. The original justification for their creation is no longer valid in today’s technology. That being those days where it might take months for all votes to be counted and reported.