Trump Verdict a Virtual Non-Factor as Americans Prioritize Economy, Border, and Crime – But it Did Rile up Biden’s Base

Posted on June 13, 2024 by Guest Author ( 2 comments already! )

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By Manzanita Miller

The latest CBS News/ YouGov survey highlights just how little of an impact former President Trump’s guilty verdict seems to have on voters’ priorities this fall. According to the poll, Trump’s verdict is significantly less important to a plurality of Americans than a slate of domestic issues including the economy, inflation and immigration. However, President Joe Biden’s voters are increasingly saying their vote this fall will be to block Trump, not to support Biden.

A plurality of Americans (55 percent) say Trump’s verdict is a non-factor for their vote, while just 28 percent say it is a major factor and 17 percent say it is a minor factor according to the survey. In addition, 51 percent of Americans say they view the election in November as a comparison between Trump and Biden, not as a “judgment” about either candidate.

While just 45 percent of Americans say the Trump verdict is a factor in their vote – with 28 percent saying it is a major factor and 17 percent saying it is a minor factor – wide pluralities of Americans rank other issues like crime, the economy, and immigration as priorities.

According to the poll, 96 percent of Americans say economic issues are a factor in their vote this fall, with 81 percent saying the economy is a major factor and 15 percent saying it is a minor factor.

Inflation is the second most important issue with a full 93 percent of Americans citing inflation as playing a factor in November. Seventy-five percent of Americans say inflation will play a major factor in November, while 18 percent say it will play a minor factor. There are very few disparities among Americans who prioritize inflation, but there is a 13-point gap between non-college voters (81 percent) and college educated voters (68 percent).

Crime is also an important factor in November according to the poll, with 90 percent of Americans saying crime is factor in their vote. Sixty-two percent say crime is a major factor and 28 percent say it is a minor factor according to YouGov.

The border is also a major factor in November, with 88 percent of Americans saying immigration will impact their vote in November. Over half (56 percent) of voters say the border is a major factor and 31 percent say the border is a minor factor. Whites (61 percent), Republicans (83 percent) and non-college Americans (69 percent) prioritize the border at the highest rates.

To put the verdict into context, less Americans say the verdict is a major factor in their vote than other relatively low-ranking priorities are. For example, while just 28 percent of Americans say the Trump verdict is major factor in their vote, 37 percent of voters say issues of race and identity are a major factor in their vote and 35 percent say climate change is a major factor. All three minor issues pale in importance for a majority of voters when stacked up against concerns about the economy, inflation, crime, and immigration.

While the verdict has had a negligible impact on a majority of Americans, it appears to have moderately motivated Biden voters to pledge to vote in November in a protest vote against Trump.

Biden supporters appear to be largely not Biden supporters at all – but planning to support President Biden to oppose Trump.

A mere 27 percent of likely Biden voters say they are mainly supporting Biden in November because they like him while 19 percent are supporting him largely because he is the Democratic nominee. The remaining 54 percent are supporting Biden “mainly to oppose Doanld Trump”, according to the poll.

Interestingly, it is white Biden supporters who appear the most furious over the Trump verdict, with a full 62 percent of white Biden supporters saying their vote in November will mostly be an effort to block Trump, compared to just 31 percent of Blacks and 50 percent of Hispanics. There is little difference between the share of college-educated Biden voters (64 percent) and non-college Biden voters (61 percent) who say they are mainly supporting Biden to oppose Trump.

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Just Plain Bill

3 months ago

Trump’s legal team hits Bragg and Robin Ware/Robert L. Peters/JRB Ware/Pedo Peter/idiot Biden with an uppercut. BAM!

Bragg and Biden campaign ‘coordinated’ to influence 2024 election: FEC complaint

I look forward to the filings for the appeals.

TrumpWon

3 months ago

Here are Trump’s top three arguments for appeal after guilty verdict in hush money trial

Former President Donald Trump has three key issues he can argue on appeal to overturn his conviction in his New York hush money trial, including that prosecutors never identified an underlying felony to the resurrected misdemeanor bookkeeping charges that had lapsed.
The other two issues for appeal involve boundless character testimony prejudicial to Mr. Trump and prejudicial evidence that the trial judge allowed to be admitted, such as testimony about the infamous “Access Hollywood” tape.
Legal scholars say a defendant’s right to a fair trial and due process is undermined when the specific charge they are facing is not spelled out for them to defend properly.
That was what happened, some experts argue, when Judge Juan Merchan directed jurors that they didn’t need to — under New York law — find the defendant unanimously guilty of committing a felony to resurrect the misdemeanor recordkeeping charges that had expired under the statute of limitations.
The judge instructed jurors that they would have to find only that Mr. Trump committed bookkeeping infractions to conceal a campaign finance violation, tax law infraction or falsification of business records. They didn’t have to agree on the underlying crime to find the former president guilty.
“The issue of the absence of a second crime is exactly the kind of legal question that would be prime for appellate review,” said John Yoo, a professor at the University of California, Berkeley, and a former Justice Department official.
Thomas Hogan, a professor at South Texas College of Law Houston, said an appeals court would be suspect of such instructions.
“The fact that the prosecution has not been forced to identify specifically the underlying crime that would make this business records case a felony — and the jurors apparently are each permitted to choose their own underlying crime, with no unanimity required — certainly would get a skeptical look from an appellate court,” he said.
The conviction of Mr. Trump is historic — the first time a former president has faced criminal charges that have gone to trial. He was found guilty of all 34 counts.
Prosecutors said Mr. Trump used personal attorney Michael Cohen to pay $130,000 to adult film actress Stormy Daniels before the 2016 presidential election because she was shopping a story about an alleged sexual encounter with Mr. Trump in Lake Tahoe in 2006.
Legal scholars say Ms. Daniels’ detailed testimony about the alleged tryst could be viewed as prejudicial because it was unrelated to the business recordkeeping charge at issue in the trial.
Her testimony about how they had sex, the use of a condom, that she was bored and that Mr. Trump allegedly said she looked like his daughter was inflammatory, some analysts say.
Other testimony included an alleged affair involving former Playboy model Karen McDougal. Mr. Trump has denied both affairs.
“The amount of character evidence admitted on unrelated matters is a fundamental problem for appellate courts,” Mr. Hogan said.
Brian Claypool, a trial lawyer in California, said admitting into evidence testimony about the “Access Hollywood” tape, in which Mr. Trump discusses grabbing women’s body parts without consent, was unrelated to the charges and prejudicial to the defendant.
“This tape had nothing to do with falsifying documents. This was not a sexual assault trial,” he said. “This tape is also highly prejudicial to Trump casting in a light of being a ‘womanizer’ and disrespecting women. Five jurors are women and could easily be offended by this tape, which may cloud their ability to be fair and impartial.”