Three Key Takeaways of the Tim Walz V.P. Nominee Selection

BY Capt. Seth Keshel

News broke at the crack of dawn today that Kamala Harris selected Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate.  Last week, the veepstakes also included Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro, Arizona U.S. Senator Mark Kelly, Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker, and Pete Buttigieg.  Shapiro and Kelly were rumored to have made the final round of interviews, which probably included awkward stares and laughs with Harris as diversity bona fides were discussed ad nauseam.

Before I jump in on why Walz, here is a brief blurb on why I think Beshear, Pritzker, and Buttigeg were passed over:

·      Beshear – Not only is star power and name recognition an issue here, the governor of Kentucky isn’t going to be used to steal Kentucky, Tennessee, Ohio, Indiana, Missouri, or West Virginia, and would probably result in low progressive base turnout since he’s at least sane enough to get elected in Trump-era Kentucky (or so they say).

·      Pritzker – a boring non-starter resembling Jabba the Hutt and worth billions, which is also something socialists hate.  Pritzker, who is Jewish, may have also eventually run into the same progressive buzzsaw that ate up Shapiro’s hopes (keep reading).

·      Buttigieg – a ticket can only take so much open wokeism, and a Harris-Buttigieg ticket would most likely result in an unfathomable split in the male vote in favor of Trump, far surpassing whatever it would fetch for the female vote, which according to meticulous polling analysis, isn’t what you might expect.

I had been hearing a lot of rumbling about Mark Kelly, including locally in Arizona, because he was an astronaut.  Apparently being an astronaut is enough to qualify someone for key leadership positions just because it is such a cool thing and involves spaceships, aliens, and lasers (yes, this is my sarcastic voice).  Perhaps Eric Holder came across the recent Arizona registration numbers showing a lead of over 260,000 for the GOP, up almost twofold since the 2020 race that was ripped off in epic fashion, and decided the path through the Sun Belt wasn’t well developed after all.

So, why Walz?  Here are three immediate takeaways on the Walz pick and what they mean for the race going forward.

I.                             A Verdict on Shapiro

Not even the media can deny that Pennsylvania is a Trump-leaning state now, despite trying to fluff polling to show 2016 as a fluke.  On paper, if we were to believe V.P. nominees can carry a state (more of a myth perpetuated by LBJ’s presence on Kennedy’s 1960 ticket) for the presidential nominee, Shapiro was the best choice.  Two years ago, he won (or “won”) the largest gubernatorial margin for a non-incumbent in the Keystone State since 1946.

I had hoped exactly for this outcome (Shapiro not chosen), because Shapiro would have been the narrative to explain why Pennsylvania somehow didn’t go to Trump despite all indicators, such as trend since 2010 and party registration heavily favoring the GOP (Trump), suggesting it would do so comfortably.  Some of this decision probably boiled down to Shapiro’s massive ego and obvious political ambition, and it turns out my sources were correct in stating that the Philadelphia mayor’s Shapiro promo video was a pressure play to force Harris to go with him.

Shapiro was most likely going to be the pick, but all reports indicate that not only did the Obamas and Nancy Pelosi want Walz, the left-wing base of the Democrats, which hates Jews, was into full blown riot mode over the potential of a Zionist critical of the pro-Palestine campus protests joining the ticket.  Some feared Shapiro would cost Michigan and Minnesota by default.  It turns out that I accurately predicted this rift almost two weeks ago, and it was the masterful string pulling by Donald Trump that made it happen and now gives him a clear shot at Pennsylvania, which will be unimpacted by Walz.

Make no mistake, Josh Shapiro is a danger to not only Pennsylvania, but the United States at large.  He was the architect of Pennsylvania’s stolen election in 2020, when as the sitting Attorney General he declared there was no way Trump would win the state once all the ballots were counted.  Surprise!

II.                         Who?

Browsing comments yesterday, it was clear to me that many on our side have no idea who Tim Walz even is.  That is the same with the political middle and most likely the young, progressive base of the Democrat Party.  Walz has little national name recognition and even less charisma.

Granted, with Harris filling in as America’s ultimate DEI hire, she had to have a plain, old white man as her running mate, which is another brilliant stroke of political irony given how much the leftwing subversives of our country have vilified old white men.  Now, Donald Trump’s razor sharp 40-year-old running mate of Hillbilly Elegy cultural fame will counter the man who oversaw the Minneapolis 2020 Summer of Love after the George Floyd fiasco and who has referred to himself as a socialist because it is supposedly neighborly.

You already know that Walz is no moderate, and as a bona fide member of the political Uniparty and the favorite of the Obamas out of the rest of Harris’s potential field of candidates, he is clearly a threat to the country.  The good news is that he is not the biggest threat, by a long shot, that can generate energy for Harris’s corpse of a campaign now that the Kamalaise has set in economically that she will continue to be blamed for.

III.                      Talking Geography

I don’t know how much of the electoral map was taken into consideration in picking Walz, if any.  Richard Baris and Larry Schweikart don’t think the V.P. nominee alters a state much (although I can spot it with Alaska in 2008), and I think with someone as insignificant as Walz, that’s probably correct.  If we believe most of what we experience with election coverage is just narrative conditioning to accept any and all outcomes, as I do, then Shapiro was the most dangerous pick because his existence on the ticket would be to explain to you, the viewer, just how Donald Trump couldn’t get Pennsylvania on board because their popular governor helped keep it blue by 20,000 ballots.

Larry won’t like to hear this, but I continue to believe Minnesota is fool’s gold for Republicans, especially now that their trifecta has enshrined all of the 2020 election cheats needed to keep the Twin Cities at an unconquerable level of Democrat dominance to hold statewide races.  Trump should absolutely win Minnesota in the 2024 cycle, and perhaps could if RFK, Jr., takes enough disaffected Democrats, but my prediction that Harris will be certified as Minnesota’s winner does not depart from my initial projection from a month ago, and we are none the worse off.  In fact, Minnesota, which is organically left of Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada, isn’t going to decide the election, and if won by Trump, would be icing on the cake.

Mark Kelly not being the pick suggests to me Arizona is a bridge too far for Harris, and that the path to a Harris election theft will need to run through Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota, meaning Trump is the odds on favorite to carry Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia, putting him at 268 presumptive electoral votes if the Harris-Walz ticket fails to steal North Carolina, which they are taking a good hard look at.

Conclusion

Walz is another Democrat radical who is going to pose as a man of the people. Unfortunately for the Harris campaign, he will forever be linked to the carnage in the Twin Cities, has little charisma and name recognition, and will be easy for Team Trump to pulverize for the next three months.  Don’t be surprised to see Pennsylvania take priority for Trump over any other Midwestern state, and rightly so, but Walz should have no real impact on Wisconsin other than what is narrated through the media.

Tim Walz is a great pick if you’re hopeful for a Trump 2024 win.

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