Undecided? Really? Cerabino was skeptical. He’d been thinking lately that undecided voters are kind of a myth. That there’s no way anyone could still be undecided this close to the election, particularly in Florida, where there has been such relentless campaigning.
Lynn Vavreck, a political scientist from UCLA, has been tracking a group of 44,000 self-described undecided voters all year, measuring who remains undecided in the presidential election. She says these kinds of voters are just less than 4 percent of the electorate, and that there have been a lot of misconceptions surrounding this group and their power to tip the election.
~~~ “So we rush a little bit to judgment when we say, ‘Ugh, these people are idiots.’ Well, they’re not. They’re busy people for whom politics is not the No. 1 concern in their lives,” Vavreck says.
Do They Matter?
Meanwhile, politicians and media alike have focused on this group as having the power to swing the election. Vavreck says that’s not quite accurate.
“First, I think we should stipulate that the reason they get so much attention from the media is because they are the only thing left that’s moving,” she says. “Nothing is more boring to a reporter than the same thing happening today that happened yesterday. I think it’s a little unfair to say that the election is turning on their decision.”
Just because they’re making up their minds last, doesn’t mean their votes are the most important, she says.
“They’re making their decision late, but if the election were a blowout, their decision wouldn’t matter at all,” Vavreck says.
~~~ Secretly Decided
As for Cerabino in Florida, he called up the radio host to confront him about his “undecided” comment. Hochman shared a secret: He’s really a Democrat. He just didn’t find it worth it to take a side on air, given how divided the country is politically.
This admission made Cerabino feel reassured about his belief that undecided voters don’t actually exist.
He says that deep down those “undecided’ voters asking the questions during Tuesday’s town hall-style debate actually have a preference.
“I think [undecided voters] may be just like the unicorn or something,” he says, “this character we like to imagine exists because it makes us feel good.”
Wow!
Under 4% of the population!
Just like Gays/Lesbians/Bisexuals and Transgendereds!
Gallop ran a poll on a large population and found only 3.2% even said they id’ed themselves as such.
Gallop added in another 1/2% as ”closeted.”
Still under 4%.
But I think these 4% undecideds are simply ”shy.”
As in the ”Shy Tory Effect,” whereby a bunch of polls showed Labor winning handily in GB but the actual vote was a huge win for the Tories.
I thought I was undecided; but now, I’m not so sure.
IT WOULD BE HARD TO BE ANYMORE UNDECIDED,
now today, when you realize that you are not safe with who is making decisions to protect AMERICA,
WHERE AMERICANS FELT SAFE BEFORE THE SECOND 9/11 OF 2012,
DRAMATICLY DANGEROUS AND SAD TO THINK THAT AMERICANS ARE NOW
ON DEFENSIVE INSIDE THEIR OWN COUNTRIES,
WHERE NO ONE IS NOW TRUSTED
OH WAIT A MINUTE, some thought just made me come back here,
it is close to election day, many many people will be out to wait in line to vote,
what if there is a connection with the LIBYA PLAN, WITH THE TERRORIST ATTACK,
NA NOWAY IT CAN’T BE,
BUT, BUT, HE IS COMFORTABLE WITH THE MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD, THEY WHERE INVITED IN THE WHITE HOUSE NOT SO LONG AGO, HE HELP THEM ORGANIZE TO WIN LIBYA WITH NATO AND MONEY,
NOW HE IS NOT SURE OF WINNING, HE WAS NOT SURE BEFORE EITHER,
WHAT IF, I keep coming back to MARION ‘S 10 RULES OF MARXIST, AND THE LAST ONE IS WHAT?
create an event, and execute THE MARTIAL LAW,
WHAT IF THE AGENDA OF OBAMA IS FOCUS ON THAT LAST EXECUTIVE ORDER?
HIS DETACH ATTITUDE IS SCARY,
WORDS LIKE NOT OPTIMAL
WHAT IS OPTIMAL FOR HIM ?
who can dissect this and give me their opinion
OHIO
you’re getting close, we are checking you now,
give it more effort. don’t worry about the UNIONS RHETORICS, THEY STILL WILL BE THERE AFTER THE ELECTION, NO MATTER WHO WIN, BUT DON’T LET THEM PUSH THE OBAMA ON YOU,
this time people of OHIO, you have the power to vote for the best,
and you know it’s MITT ROMNEY, you feel it in your guts, don’t let the UNIONS INFLUENCE YOU’RE VOTES, because this is your power to make things right, and you own it, use it for the best.