by Capt. Seth Keshel
In June, I finished a series I dubbed “Four Courses for Fall,” which outlined four scenarios for the 2024 election, then expected to be between Donald Trump and Joe Biden. The fourth installment, which I called “Scenario 4 – The 1861 Scenario,” may be coming true in real time – and I recommend you read it before you proceed further (it is now open for all SubStack subscribers).
The scenario is very troubling and is titled accordingly. In 1861, the secession of the states that became the Confederate States of America began, starting with South Carolina. This was in response to the election of Abraham Lincoln and the boiling over of hostilities between North and South that encompassed many political issues, including slavery and states’ rights. The split tore the nation apart for four years of a hot war, many painful years of formal Reconstruction, and nearly a century of political tensions until the breakup of the Democrat “Solid South.”
That fourth installment focused on the Uniparty apparatus allowing Trump to charge headfirst into the Rust Belt, win them convincingly, and then turn around on the back end in an attempt to do what regime members do at an expert level – project. By accusing Trump and Republicans of cheating in the election, or disenfranchising minority voters, this projection would be aimed at propagandizing the nation, pressuring Congress, and preventing the certification of a Trump electoral victory.
Now, three months later, how is this Course of Action shaping up? I had this discussion yesterday with Mark Finchem, Savior of Arizona LD1, and he is in agreement that something smells off.
Here are some items that have recently been in the news:
· Stephen Richer and Adrian Fontes, the Maricopa County Recorder and Secretary of State, respectively, who seem to view themselves as a modern rendition of Jefferson and Adams, have a “friendly lawsuit” floating around over 97,688 registered voters who have no proof of citizenship on file, and who are reportedly led in number by those registered as Republicans. Now, after four years of constant havoc over the state of elections in Arizona, we have a debate raging about whether these voters should be able to vote in state and local races, as opposed to “federal only,” which could jeopardize a very narrow GOP legislative majority. The narrative is planted now that it is Republicans, not Democrats, who are causing issues with the integrity of voter rolls.
· Attorney General Merrick Garland has inserted a “Russia, Russia, Russia” narrative in alleging that they (the Russians) intend to interfere in and influence the 2024 U.S. election, presumably for anti-establishment candidates and Trump. That, when combined with the first point, equals Republicans corrupting voter rolls + Russia interfering…
· Finally, the mainstream media’s usual suspects let out a flurry of wildly unrealistic pro-Harris national polls, which do not jive with the state of the elections in the decisive states, let alone credible polling of said states showing Trump leads or statistically tied races, leading me to believe that the current equation is Republicans corrupting voter rolls +Russia interfering prevents an otherwise inevitable Harris victory, as foretold by “polling.”
When I laid out “Scenario 3 – 2020 Redux,” which carried forward the actions of the 2020 election into 2024, I listed the reasons that wasn’t likely to happen:
Some modelers are suggesting 74 million votes for Trump, let alone 81 million for Harris, may not be on the table this year based on turnout adjustments back to some degree of normalcy, but Republicans are coming in higher practically everywhere in terms of party registration and I tentatively expect Trump to exceed his 74 million significantly from 2020, not regress back into the 60-millions. The people will not believe the same outcome if Trump keeps tacking on more votes, especially with even larger leads poised to manifest in the industrial battlegrounds than last time, which mandated a stoppage of the ballot counting and a re-start, with many days passing to flip Pennsylvania and Georgia for Biden four years ago.
Therefore, the only other way to thwart Trump, if a direct thwarting is neither possible nor advantageous, is to stop him procedurally. Scenario 4 lays this out. Imagine a scenario in which Trump carries more than 300 electoral votes on the backs of key midwestern states. Using the established statement that it is Republican voter roll corruption that must have boosted him, and capitalizing on a planted narrative that Russia, whose President “endorsed” Harris, influenced the outcome for Trump, and pointing out that these factors subverted state-run polling showing a decisive Harris win that doesn’t register when processing the fundamentals of the decisive states, we then find ourselves at an impasse that threatens to break apart the Republic.
The media will run with it, the Democrat base and mob actors will riot, and Congress will be pressured to refuse to certify Trump’s electoral votes and proceed with a contingent election, as described in my 1861 scenario:
