Mickey Kaus:
In 2007, John McCain’s “comprehensive” immigrant-legalization bill failed after opponents flooded the Senate with calls, shutting down the switchboard. Despite considerable press hype, the bill didn’t even muster a majority on the crucial cloture vote.
It won’t be that easy this time. For one thing, they have a better switchboard, I’m told. For another, the Republican consultants–e.g. Gillespie, Rove–who helped Mitt Romney lose the 2012 election have taken their own failure as an excuse to push what they’ve wanted all along–a business-pleasing immigration policy guaranteeing a supply of inexpensive labor from abroad and a stream of campaign donations to pay Republican consultants. It beats rethinking the rest of the GOP agenda.
In fact, despite all the talk of polarization and Citizens United, the big money in the immigration fight almost unanimously favors a bipartisan, legalization-first bill. Kochs included. The GOP donor class is asserting itself, Ross Douthat has noted. It’s spotted what it thinks is an intersection of crude self-interest, high-minded tolerance, partisan strategy and libertarian philosophy.
One of the more influential members of this “donorist” class is Rupert Murdoch, which means that FOX News has for all intents and purposes switched sides, giving immigration “comprehensivists” a monopoly in the MSM–five networks to none. As goes Murdoch, so goes Hannity.
If you are a Republican who worries that a flood of low-skilled immigrants would drive down wages and make America an uglier place, where the rich have cheap servants but even diligent unskilled work doesn’t afford a life of dignity–well, we’re sorry. We’ve booked our Republican for the panel this week–Senator McCain! A member of the famous Gang of 8! He always puts on a good show, don’t you agree? (If you are a Democrat who worries about immigration and low wages, you probably don’t exist, and certainly don’t hold elective office. In 2007, populist Dems like Senator Byron Dorgan still walked the halls. Now they’ve been driven out–or underground–by the lure of ethnic identity politics).
Worst of all are distractions that weren’t around in 2007. Probably through sheer bad luck, a series of dramatic scandals has captured the attention of both the press (which would ordinarily be celebrating the Gang of Eight’s epic achievement) and conservatives, who would ordinarily be kicking up a fuss. The distraction factor applies with special force to right-wing talk radio hosts, who instead of mobilizing opposition are pontificating in a daze of either overconfidence (i.e., ‘Democrats want this bill to fail’) or fatalism.You’d think Rush Limbaugh–a rare non-Fox conservative star, who understands what is at stake– might have a good deal of time to spend on the Gang of 8 bill the day before its first test vote in the Senate. You would be wrong. Rush talked mainly about the NSA.
If the conservative public were paying attention, the flaws and crude deceptions of the Schumer-Rubio bill would be common knowledge. They are so obvious, especially in the border enforcement area, that even Sen. Rubio pretends to be dissatisfied with his own bill. Byron York reports that many conservatives are shocked when they learn that Rubio’s bill doesn’t secure the border before legalization. It doesn’t! ”First comes the legalization,” as Rubio boasted yesterday. That’s been obvious for months, but now it’s news. (The border security requirements, themselves evanescent, would only prevent legalized illegals from moving to upgrade from legal status to getting green cards and citizenship.)
I haven’t seen the tally yet, but, it looks like the S744 bill has proceeded past the 60 votes needed to avoid cloture.
82 to 15 is the vote.
Now the debate.
Thankfully, many Conservatives and Republicans have been catching on that FOX is not the pro-conservative news agency that the rest of the MSM have been proclaiming it to be, and they are getting more and more of their news information from conservative internet sources. Unfortunately that lets out many of the older conservatives who are minimally connected and are mostly not computer savvy, and it also unfortunately can lead conservatives to discover and possibly believe what is posted on some of the less factual conservative quasi-“blog-as-news sites”.
I suppose that balances out somewhat with the far-left who watch MSNBC and believe everything the Daily Kos ans Huffington Post puts out.
It’s indeed possible that this “immigration reform” amnesty bill will get out of the Senate, but the Senate Bill will never make it through the House. On the other hand, there are even more RINOS in the House working with Democrats on their version of an “immigration reform” bill, And the House is controlled by a progressive establishment Republican leadership who is just stupid enough to work with the Senate to reconcile the two into a compromise agreement that will end up with: still broken borders, an amnesty plan, even more massive unemployment, and the eventual downfall of the Republican party into a minor party. As I wrote in a separate FA article, “immigration reform” is a “Check!” move that can lead to Democratic “CHECKMATE!” if the damn fool Establishment/RINOs listen to the MSM and their big money donors, instead of the rank and file Republicans who voted for them.
We have our work cut out for us, so we are going to have keep up the effort and hope we can beat some common sense into the heads of friends, family and the GOP. Right now it could go either way, and if it goes to the progressive side, this may be the final nail in the coffin of the enlightened free republic the Founders created.