Putin 🇷🇺 is highly likely to concentrate forces on an offensive that can produce some sort of ”win” by May 9 – the traditional Victory Day. Extended area of Donbas is the likely focus, and certainly Odessa if that’s reachable by his forces. pic.twitter.com/dpXqOwthNp
— Carl Bildt (@carlbildt) April 3, 2022
As I said over a week ago, with Mariupol in RUS hands, then the RUS have what they wanted:
– RUS enclaves/breakaways in Donbass
– Azov coast & most of Black Sea
– Crimean territories expanded
Hard to see what else the Kremlin realistically wants beyond these objectives…Odessa?— Gray Connolly (@GrayConnolly) April 3, 2022
Continuing Russian operations along their new main effort in eastern Ukraine made little progress on April 2, and Russian forces likely require some time to redeploy and integrate reinforcements from other axes. Ukrainian forces repelled likely large-scale Russian assaults in Donbas on April 2 and inflicted heavy casualties. Russian forces continued to capture territory in central Mariupol and will likely capture the city in the coming days. Russian units around Kyiv and in northeastern Ukraine continued to successfully withdraw into Belarus and Russia, and heavy mining in previously Russian-occupied areas is forcing Ukrainian forces to conduct slow clearing operations.
However, the Russian units withdrawn from northeastern Ukraine for redeployment to eastern Ukraine are heavily damaged. Russian forces likely require an extensive operational pause to refit existing units in Donbas, refit and redeploy reinforcements from other axes, and integrate these forces—pulled from several military districts that have not yet operated on a single axis—into a cohesive fighting force. We have observed no indicators of Russian plans to carry out such a pause, and Russian forces will likely fail to break through Ukrainian defenses if they continue to steadily funnel already damaged units into fighting in eastern Ukraine.
Key Takeaways
- Russian forces continued to capture territory in central Mariupol on April 2 and will likely capture the city within days.
- Ukrainian forces repelled several possibly large-scale Russian assaults in Donbas, claiming to destroy almost 70 Russian vehicles.
- Russian forces will likely require a lengthy operational pause to integrate reinforcements into existing force structures in eastern Ukraine and enable successful operations but appear unlikely to do so and will continue to bleed their forces in ineffective daily attacks.
- Russian forces in Izyum conducted an operational pause after successfully capturing the city on April 1 and will likely resume offensive operations to link up with Russian forces in Donbas in the coming days.
- Russia continued to withdraw forces from the Kyiv axis into Belarus and Russia. Ukrainian forces primarily conducted operations to sweep and clear previously Russian-occupied territory.
- Ukrainian forces likely repelled limited Russian attacks in Kherson Oblast.
- The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces have rendered two-thirds of the 75 Russian Battalion Tactical Groups it assesses have fought in Ukraine either temporarily or permanently combat ineffective.
Click here to expand the map below.
The Ukrainian General Staff reported on April 2 that out of the 75 Russian Battalion Tactical Groups (BTGs) it assesses have participated in operations in Ukraine, 16 BTGs have been “completely destroyed” and 34 more are currently combat ineffective and recovering.[1] ISW cannot independently confirm these numbers, but Russian forces will be unlikely to be able to resume major operations if two-thirds of the BTGs committed to fighting to date have been rendered temporarily or permanently combat ineffective.
The Ukrainian General Staff stated on April 2 that Belarusian forces are increasing the pace of ongoing training, but that Ukraine does not observe any indicators of preparations for a Belarusian offensive.[2] Belarusian social media users observed Belarusian air defenses redeploying towards Luninets and Slutsk (in central Belarus) on April 2, but no Belarusian forces were observed moving near the Ukrainian border.[3] ISW assesses Belarusian President Lukashenko will continue to resist Russian efforts to involve Belarus in the war in Ukraine.
ISW has updated its assessment of the four primary efforts Russian forces are engaged in at this time:
- Main effort—Eastern Ukraine (comprised of two subordinate supporting efforts);
- Supporting effort 1—Kharkiv and Izyum;
- Supporting effort 2—Kyiv and northeastern Ukraine; and
- Supporting effort 3—Southern axis.
Main effort—Eastern Ukraine
Subordinate main effort – Mariupol (Russian objective: Capturing Mariupol and reducing Ukrainian defenders)
Russian forces continued to capture territory in central Mariupol on April 2 and will likely capture the city within days.[4] ISW geolocated a video released by Russian forces inside the Ukrainian SBU headquarters in central Mariupol on April 2.[5] Russian forces have likely bisected or trisected Ukrainian defenders in the city.
Click here to expand the map below.
Subordinate main effort – Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts (Russian objective: Capture the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas)
Ukrainian forces continued to repel Russian assaults in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on April 2. The Ukrainian General Staff reported at 6:00 am local time on April 2 that Ukrainian forces repelled nine enemy attacks in the past 24 hours, destroying eight tanks, 44 armored vehicles, 16 unarmored vehicles, and 10 artillery systems.[6] These numbers are far higher than the daily totals of destroyed Russian vehicles claimed by Ukrainian forces, which are typically less than ten per day. Ukrainian forces may have repelled significant Russian assaults in the last 24 hours and inflicted heavy casualties, but ISW cannot independently confirm these claims. Russian offensive operations in Luhansk Oblast are centered on Popasna and Rubizhne, and operations in Donetsk Oblast are concentrated on Marinka, though Russian forces reportedly launched unsuccessful attacks all along the line of contact in the past 24 hours.[7]
Ukrainian forces continue to successfully repel Russian assaults in Donbas. Russian forces will likely require an operational pause to reconstitute their existing forces in the region and integrate reinforcements currently redeploying from northern Ukraine to mount an effective offensive. However, we have seen no indication of a Russian operational pause on the Donbas axis, and they appear likely to further bleed their forces with ineffective daily attacks.
Click here to expand the map below.
Supporting Effort #1—Kharkiv and Izyum: (Russian objective: Advance southeast to support Russian operations in Luhansk Oblast, and fix Ukrainian forces around Kharkiv in place)
Russian forces in Izyum conducted an operational pause on April 2 after successfully capturing the city on April 1. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces regrouped and established a pontoon crossing in the past 24 hours in preparation for further offensive operations.[8] The General Staff additionally reported that elements of the 4th Tank Division (likely withdrawn from the Sumy axis in the past week) were observed in Belgorod, Russia, and elements of the 106th Guards Airborne Division deployed to Pisky, northeast of Izyum.[9] Russian forces will likely leverage these and other reinforcements to conduct offensive operations southeast from Izyum to link up with Russian forces in Donbas in the coming days.
Russian forces continued to shell Kharkiv and its outskirts but did not conduct any ground attacks. Local Kharkiv and Ukrainian military authorities reported that Russian forces shelled Saltivka, Pyatykhaty, Derhachi, and Oleksyivka in the past 24 hours and conducted an Iskander-M missile strike on an unspecified Ukrainian position in Kharkiv Oblast on April 1.[10]
Russia is losing, and will just leave and say they are sorry (cue some link to an abandoned tank or something).
The noble Ukrainians are all heros and do nothing wrong, ever ever. They are our new globalist gods and we should all send our wives over to copulate with Zelensky, so we can populate the world with the suddenly “masculine” wishes of a now irrelevant Leftwing media complex.
Don’t forget to register for your new social credit number and identity, being as Ukraine is the ONLY other nation in the world other than China who has one.
I admire the Ukrainians’ refusal to submit to a murderous tyrant, their unity of purpose, their courage on the battlefield in defense of their homeland, and their abiding faith in God and the future of their nation.
They’ve earned the world’s admiration.
Hehe. And you came like a fly to shit, doing exactly what we all know you do: dancing like a marxist monkey.
Don’t forget to register for your new social credit number and identity, being as Ukraine is the ONLY other nation in the world other than China who has one.
And just as quickly unearned it as we watch them kneecap POW’s and beat kids bare asses as they tied up with the parents, violating the Geneva Convention.
No one should ever give their support or blind faith in one side of a war without being educated on the subject.
Hillary Clinton Says She Doesn’t Understand Why Joe Biden’s Poll Numbers Are So Low
Her ignorance of why bidens numbers are in the basement are an automatic disqualifier for 2024
Maybe she’s referring to the usual liberal media support and protection of Democrats. It’s simply impossible to hide the catastrophic failures of the idiot Biden regime and the Democrats.
Of course, she is sending a message to the democrat media. Remember this?
POLITICS
Hillary Wonders: Why Am I Not Up 50 Points?
It’s sad the Ukrainians aren’t unified. If only they weren’t a diverse set of Russians, Nazis, and others killing each other or plastic wrapping each other to poles they might have a better go at repelling the Russians.
Not going well for Zelenskky, at all.
It undoubtedly goads some people that a young Ukrainian woman is a truer patriot and braver soldier than they’d ever be. The world is full of posturing phonies.
You think acting and speaking like modern-day conservative is “provoking?”
Luckily, if the US is every invaded, you’ll see what true patriotism is.
The world of posturing phonies is currently the one putting Ukraine flags on their Instagram. It costs them nothing, but they get to pretend they support a cause while toeing the line with their totalitarian masters.
The blood of dead Ukrainians is all over the hands of Biden, Obama, Bush, Soros, Hunter, and every other globalist scumball slowly siphoning their resources while pretending to be “caring” as much as it is Putin’s.
Putin will ultimate be dead, deposed, or seriously devalued as a player on the geopolitical stage a result of his catastrophic blunder in Ukraine.
I can see an example of what true patriotism is when I consider the Ukrainian people. There are American volunteers fighting alongside the Ukrainians, by the way.
Crooked Hillary Does Not Believe Putin Should Be ‘Let Back Into New World Order’: “Now Is the Time to Double Down”
This war is most likely Putin’s attack against the developing NWO.
Expect more resistance, worldwide.
Putin’s approval rating from Russian citizens has gone up.
The ruble has recovered, and now Putin is requiring the petro-ruble or gold.
You care nothing for the Ukrainian people, but I’m enjoying the show you’re putting on. Don’t stop.
They’d be better served volunteering as poll watchers. Preventing the rigged election of 2020 would have save more Ukrainians than they might playing hero in a far off land.
Ukraine’s Women Warriors send message to Russian troops
Sen. Ron Johnson: NYT, WaPo, Liberal Media Implicated Coverup of Biden Family Crimes (VIDEO)
Gateway Pundit is a fake news site.
Prove it dipshit
It’s Gateway Pundit that needs to offer proof of their inflammatory bullshit. They were a major promoter of the lie that Obama wasn’t born in the United States. They promote Trump’s stolen election horse manure. They’re instantly onboard with any right-wing disinformation that seems to be gaining traction.
Someone else said it better than I could:
No one knows where obama was born
the 2020 election was stolen.
That would be an example of what sites like Gateway Pundit have done to people’s minds.
2-year Treasury yield tops 10-year rate, a ‘yield curve’ inversion that could signal a recession
no one does know without suspicion where Obama was born
Obama was born in Hawaii. Where were you born? The point being, his proof is as good as your own. His proof has actually been presented, and vouched for by the state authorities who examined the records.
I have heard that has been said. No one knows for sure
A lot of people lie. obama lied 27 times when he said you could keep your doctor.
Still have not seen college transcripts or any writings while he was head of Harvard law review.
Hillary. Hillary started that.
Just one in hundreds of cases of election fraud.
Overwhelming, credible evidence.
Mainstream news agencies are owned by major corporations. They are there to get ad revenue, not tell the truth.
That’s why they are not a credible or legitimate source of information.
That’s LITERALLY how CNN et al operate.
The usual Leftist maxim is in play, I see: “Accuse the right of doing what the Left just did publicly and without a doubt.”
Was it Breitbart or Project Veritas that paid Sandman and is getting sued by Rittenhouse? Do they have major “bombshells” that they quietly retract weeks later? Do they illegally post tax returns of citizens?
Did FIVE FBI directors collude to suppress a election-changing story so they could install their favored party, who was also paying them?
No.
The “news” you cite is garbage, and it’s not true. You fear real journalism, because it would destroy your Party and your NWO.
No, if you are calling them liars, you need to back up your accusation. You gravitate to the sources that trumpeted “Russian collusion” lies even as the knew the accusations were false, so it is perhaps YOU that are deluded.
Gateway pundit hasn’t had to retract any major stories, pay MILLIONS for slandering a youth, nor covered up the evidence of Hunter’s Laptop to help trick people into voting how they’d like them to.
CNN, and the rest of the MSM, have.
You’re “trusted and legitimate” news sources are propaganda and easily dimissed.
Are you still denying the data on Hunter’s laptop is real?
How do you know that’s real? Were you there?
Putin. 04/03/22 – Bodies of ‘executed people’ strewn across street in Bucha as Ukraine accuses Russia of war crimes
CNN???
CNN is not a credible news source. They’ve almost went bankrupt since Trump, and the invasion has helped them do what they do best: create outrage to get ad revenue.
From gay sexual assault, to covering for a sex offender governor, to attacking Nick Sandman and getting OWNED by paying around 250 million in damages, to not firing a literal “jerkoff” after he didn’t remember the camera was on…
What a f*cking disgrace that failed organization is.
Dismissed.
Maybe you’d prefer non-CNN sources: Ukraine Situation Report: Troops Find A Trail Of Russian Massacres As They Reach Belarusian Border
Ukraine: Apparent War Crimes in Russia-Controlled AreasSummary Executions, Other Grave Abuses by Russian Forces
Nah. I knew about these “war crimes” being committed by both Russia and Ukraine long before the invasion started.
Because it’s war.
How old are you, son?
And the narrative of “Russia’s committing war crimes” won’t win the kind of warmongering support you want from the American People.
The Left is now:
Pro-segregation
Pro-crime
Pro-war
Pro-drugs
Pro-censorship
Just another totalitarian state forming from the decadent fall of an “empire.”
Here’s some CNN content that’s actually good reporting:
Elon Musk buys 9.2% stake in Twitter, making him the largest shareholder
Getting Trump back on twitter, after being illegally and unconstitutionally censored, is going to be great.
The lifeless bodies of at least 20 civilian men.
How is it there were zero reports of nazis murdering Ukrainians in the last 8 years?
ADL says to shut up and let George Soros RE-organize your society without your consent. According to them, real Democracy is when foreign-born billionaires who hate your country get to make all the decisions for you.
Eat bugs and GMO I cant believe they call this meat, and buy an electric car so traveling is impossible.
https://twitter.com/Cernovich/status/1510788396494467074?t=Hy6KkfRQvYvmyJgBaM1LPQ&s=19
Zelensky, who allows the contamination of Nazis in his country, called Victor a Nazi in his shake down of the EU and US., Congrats Victor on your election victory, keep Soros and the NGOs of Soros illegal in Hungary.
Anders Aslund is a Senior Fellow for the Atlantic Council of the U.S. a foggy bottom grant sucking bottom feeder.
Zelensky has a lot of nerve calling someone else, “Nazi.”
Zelensky was asked by Fox News about hardcore Nazi Azov fighters incorporated into Ukraine’s military, he said “they are what they are.”
The remark speaks for itself, no further elaboration needed.
04/04/2022 – The Helplessness of the Biden Admin to Stop Putin Continues to Destroy Any Notion of American Citizens Acknowledging Him As a Legal President.
Up until now the USA reaction has been to prevent public knowledge of joe’s involvement with Hunter and the Ukrainian biolabs as well as the HUGE payments to him for those.
But Russia decided to do a press conference with proofs straight from Hunter’s laptop.
So the new question is, now that joe has been exposed and has no narrative that protects him, what will we do?
The NYTimes/WaPo exposure of the laptop as far as it splashes off on joe.
They failed.
There are lots of questions I don’t see getting answered. We Americans are told to believe that we have the best intel in the world. If that is the case, why did Putin decide to invade Ukraine when he did? He sat on its border for months. What was his true reason? What is b/s coming out of Russia and what is b/s coming from Zelensky? We are not getting all the facts from any Western news outlet.
Months of economically crippling sanctions and military aid to Ukraine. Putin will be removed by the people who presently support him.
Putin’s “popularity at home” will erode as the body count becomes apparent and Russian living standards plummet.
You said that before and you were wrong before.
A dictator can be killed with a blunt instrument. You just have to put in the effort.
Our southern border is far more important to Americans than the Ukraine/Russia border skirmish
But killing off around 100 million Trump voters?
That’s going to take some money.
You lunatics want blood in the end. Putin is giving it to you, so be grateful.
A dead Putin will leave an empty seat for someone much, much worse.
I grow weary of the pro-Putin horseshit. You’re giving aid and comfort to a murderous dictator.
Just an honest assessment of reality skippy
I grow weary of the pro-Nazi horseshit. You’re giving aid and comfort to murderous Nazi’s
We’re they MASSIVE, or HUGE, or HUGELY MASSIVE? Another lying Trump shill…
Repeating that those actually looking at the situation for what it is as “Pro-Putin” isn’t going to work.
You’re cried “Drink Clorox” and “Pee-Tape” one too many times.
I grow weary of the pro-Zelensky horseshit.
Perhaps you should not frequent this site. This is a pro America and pro conservative site. That might be your problem. You are not pro America and you are obviously not a conservative
No Putin apologist can be either conservative or pro-America.
You said that before, but now Putin recovered the ruble, is winning his objectives in Ukraine, has growing and majority support from his people, and seems to be laughing at Biden and the West.
KNOW PUTIN’S HISTORY AND METHODOLOGY, OR BE PLAYED FOR A FOOL
04/04/22 – Head of MI6 says mass executions in Bucha, Ukraine, were part of Putin’s invasion plan –
Moore likely has intelligence that supports his conclusion, but logic suggests the truth of his assessment. The only way that Russia could have controlled post-invasion Ukraine would have been by eliminating the existing government and its entire command and support structure. Hitler’s forces did the same thing in Poland. They methodically liquidated everyone who was part of free Poland’s governmental and military command structure.
Biden Tells Bizarre Story About “Big Mama” and How He Used to Drive an 18-Wheeler – Biden Has Never Driven an 18-Wheeler (VIDEO)
“For God’s sake, Putin cannot remain in power.” ~President Joe Biden~
Not so sure biden is in any position himself to make that statement. Let the people of Russia decide who it is that will lead them
For that matter it is no business of biden who the people of Russia or any other country want as their representative leadership
biden has wrecked America, what credibility does he have?
If Putin falls, it will be because Joe Biden tripped him.
Both Putin and biden each have a border problem. The difference, Putin is resolving his border issue while biden is letting his metastasize
Putin IS somebody’s “border issue”. He brought rape, murder, and destruction TO SOMEBODY ELSE’S COUNTRY.
So has biden. Read the news much?
I don’t think he has commenced in child sex trafficking or child sex slavery like biden is doing at our southern border
All Putin has to do is put any small child in Bidens sexually deviant gaze. Like a squirrel to a dog.
Confused Puppet Biden Ends Speech, Asks Handlers “What Do We Do Now” Before Finding a Little Girl In The Crowd to Creep On (VIDEO)
biden is the world’s number one child sex trafficker
KNOW PUTIN’S HISTORY AND METHODOLOGY, OR BE PLAYED FOR A FOOL
Biden is that fool.
Uyghurs ring a bell?
How about the thousands upon thousands of Iraqi children who died of starvation at the hands of Madeline Albright?
Yeah. What, specifically, are you suggesting?
That you are a pathetic waste of air who has zero concern for Ukrainians as you laud and suck the ass of China (which you’ve done over the years).
3rd World, backwards China outlaws free speech, and keeps people in cages like Democrats in Centuries past.
CCP, and Democrats: slavers unite.
Careful, your sock puppet is slipping.
Care to address the issue?
Because they deny human rights and keep slaves in cages.
Can you address this, or only accuse me of doing and being what we all know you are?
Guess not.
Careful, Klaus. This new world war might actually make it to your doorstep, over Poland and the rest.
KNOW PUTIN’S HISTORY AND METHODOLOGY, OR BE PLAYED FOR A FOOL
You don’t get to tell me what I’m concerned about, fool. Things don’t work that way outside of Trump’s cult compound.
KNOW PUTIN’S HISTORY AND METHODOLOGY, OR BE PLAYED FOR A FOOL
I don’t have to tell you what you are concerned about. Your statements and your tells speak loudly, and pathetically.
You have zero concern for Ukraine and Ukrainians, but you ARE concerned about the crumbling state of the now-failing Great Reset and NWO.
Elon Musk just made a move to restore American and global freedom of speech on a fascistically-compromised twitter.
We’re fighting back, and we will win.
Trump will be hurting your fragile feelings within the year on twitter.
KNOW PUTIN’S HISTORY AND METHODOLOGY, OR BE PLAYED FOR A FOOL
How Did it Take the Mayor of Bucha Four Days to Notice He Had 80 Slaughtered Bodies on His Streets?
Ukrainian armed forces shelled the town of Bucha right after Russian troops had left was deliberately ignored in the US.”
If Russia was intent on conquering and subjugating Ukraine without regard to the fate of Ukrainian civilians, it would have launched massive missile and airstrikes on all major cities, bridges, airfields, railroads and communication systems.
https://twitter.com/gbazov/status/1510983641366728712?t=ju7xMc-YtsJImt_oIq4wjQ&s=19
https://twitter.com/jonesterry514/status/1510749217706455049?t=X82nNDzdGwx0Vg7OsZUAAg&s=19
Just to add one more item to the long list of things that Trump supporters don’t believe are real…
It’s every bit as long as the list of totally imaginary things that they believe in.
A list of myths Biden and his followers believe:
Inflation is good.
The President can’t control gas prices.
Letting Putin wage war is okay.
Suppressing life-saving drugs to let hundreds of thousands die of Covid is okay.
Antifa isn’t real.
Racism is a problem in America (amongst non-Leftists, at least).
That’s a bad list to have.
Oh, and one last myth:
That the Great Reset is going to happen and the free people of the world won’t stop Klaus Schwab, Blackrock, Gates, and all the other genocidal maniacs dead in their beta-male tracks.
I think we have had enough of M16 lies with the Steel dossier.
So?
04/04/22 – Satellite imagery shows bodies laid in Bucha streets for weeks, contradicting Russian claims
Close up of satellite images:
Satellite images show bodies lay in Bucha for weeks, despite Russian claims.
Biden-induced food shortages are coming…due to sanctions on Russia and this absurd response to a very telegraphed, very preventable Russian action.
Biden will be lucky to make it through another year of his illegal term.
80% of voting Americans are against him.
Satellite images show bodies lay in Bucha for weeks, despite Russian claims.
Meh.
The play with the failing MSM is to caste a fumbling Zelensky as some kind of hero, and sex-symbol, as we watch him strut in heels and leather and then fail his country by letting his people die.
If Ukraine is doing so well, why do they keep begging for our boots on the ground?
Because they are not.
Zelensky will be killed long before Vlad, sad to say. But it’s true.
Screaming “War Crimes” isn’t going lower gas prices, help the Germans as they get owned by Putin shutting down their supplies, or put food on the table for now-struggling Americans that were prosperous and thriving under Trump.
Biden and the Davos creeps will pay for the genocide they’ve furthered and abetted.
Dead Ukrainians are now on a long list of innocent dead due to the Great Reset.
RESIST!
https://twitter.com/gbazov/status/1510983641366728712?t=lfxPL_NzCIG9I_EV9Vq1YA&s=19
Hidden behind a paywall, NYSlimes.
Just ask for greg’s work account credentials there.
https://twitter.com/gbazov/status/1510983641366728712?t=lfxPL_NzCIG9I_EV9Vq1YA&s=19
I think I’m right in assuming the Left wants Putin to “fail” so he uses a tactical nuke and then war is on the menu?
Putin was here: The Burned-Out Streets Of A Ukrainian Town’s ‘Sweet Home’ Neighborhood
Biden and Democrats were here. Minneapolis Crime statistics:
You don’t worry about someone else’s house while your own is burning, greg.
Unless it’s all planned, which this was.
Resist the Great Reset.