NOAA Radiosonde Data Shows No Warming For 58 Years

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Tony Heller:

In their “hottest year ever” press briefing, NOAA included this graph, which stated that they have a 58 year long radiosonde temperature record. But they only showed the last 37 years in the graph.

2016-03-07060741
NESDIS Strategic Communications

Here is why they are hiding the rest of the data. The earlier data showed as much pre-1979 cooling as the post-1979 warming.

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1520-0493(1978)106<0755:GTVSMA>2.0.CO;2

I combined the two graphs at the same scale below, and put a horizontal red reference line in, which shows that the earth’s atmosphere has not warmed at all since the late 1950’s

2016-03-07060229

The omission of this data from the NOAA report, is just their latest attempt to defraud the public. NOAA’s best data shows no warming for 60 years. But it gets worse. The graph in the NOAA report shows about 0.5C warming from 1979 to 2010, but their original published data shows little warming during that period.

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cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/ftp/trends/temp/angell/global.dat

Due to Urban Heat Island Effects, the NOAA surface data shows nearly one degree warming from 1979 to 2010, but their original radiosonde data showed little warming during that time. Global warming theory is based on troposphere warming, which is why the radiosonde data should be used by modelers – instead of the UHI contaminated surface data.

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Darn it there are plants that I was hoping to be able to grow that are not suitable for my 3 to 5 plant zone.

@kitt:

So much for my plans to join a nudist colony. 😉

@Ditto: Naked gardening, but colony most likely only ants.

The vertical axis of the bottom chart isn’t plotting the temperature, it’s plotting the temperature anomaly, in degrees Centigrade. In other words, it’s plotting how much above or below normal the temperature for each year was. The baseline, or normal temperature, is represented by the 0 (zero) line.

What this chart tells us is that the measured temperature has been hotter than normal during every year but one since 1979. Only in 1993 was the temperature not above normal.

@Greg: to be averaged with pre 1979 when we were told in school about the coming ice age. Why do we have all the controls and regulations and trade allow trade with the worst offenders? Wouldn’t it make sense to limit trade with planet killer countries and make it here in USA. Oh thats right Soros is investing in coal. http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3326974/posts

@Greg:

The vertical axis of the second chart isn’t plotting the temperature, it’s plotting the temperature anomaly

No it isn’t. The second chart is quite clearly labeled:

“Temperature variation for the Northern and Southern Hemispheres and for the world as a whole.”

@kitt:

…but colony most likely only ants.

Ouch. Hey, wait a minute. When did you see me naked?

@Ditto, #6:

I was actually referring to the bottom chart; the one labeled NOAA Troposphere Temperature Anomaly, the relevant point being that temperatures have been above the baseline for every year but one.

Heller has also stuck together two charts that don’t display measurements for the same atmospheric layers. His attached data for the years from 1957 to 1977 were calculated based on measured temperatures from the earth’s surface (world surface) up to the 100mb layer (100 millibars of atmospheric pressure). That would include measurements taken over 10,000 feet higher than any in the NOAA’s 1977 to 2015 chart, which only includes data up to an altitude of 40,000 feet. (Barometric pressure of 100 millibars would be encountered at an altitude of 51,806 feet. Here’s a handy millibar/altitude conversion calculator.)

The guy is pitching curve balls.

@Ditto: Meant my colony, too old and out of shape for such escapades. But gardening season be here soon!

@Greg: The whole subject of the post is that they only published the last 37 years. Silly people who succumbed to the religion of the warmist failed to understand that when the whole amount of data was produced, there was no warming!!

NOAA didn’t include the data from the 1957 through 1977 graph because that graph isn’t for the same range of altitudes. Temperatures rapidly drop as you go higher. There’s no meaningful way to combine the two charts, because they’re plotting two different things.

NOAA didn’t include all the data because they wanted to justify their funding.

That’s supposed to be the conclusion people draw from Heller’s article, but it’s b.s. Merging the two graphs is nonsensical. Either he doesn’t realize “World Surface-100MB” translates to “from sea level to 51,806 feet,” or he’s assuming that his readers won’t.

That extra 10,806 feet of altitude means you can’t directly compare chart A with chart B. As a general rule, the greater the altitude, the colder the temperature.

Climate stocks. It’s all the rage.

@Greg: You are saying that Mann’s hockey stick is ok, Heller’s calculations are BS? You believe the truth to be what you want not what actually is!

@Randy:

You’re wasting your time with Greg. He’s a fanatical follower of the AGW Church, and (as with all it’s devotees,) he refuses to accept or outright ignores all science that contradicts his religious dogma.

You don’t get to tell me what to think, any more than FOX News gets to tell me what to think. Some dolled up talking head that I’ve never heard of on FOX News is at this very moment telling FOX viewers that democrats have serious doubts about Hillary Clinton’s integrity; that that’s why Bernie Sanders is winning a few states. Sorry, girl. I’m not an effing idiot. Bernie Sanders is winning a few states because a lot of democrats prefer Bernie Sanders to Hillary Clinton. That doesn’t tell you a damn thing about what they think of Hillary Clinton. I’d happily cast a vote for either of them. Either is far and away more qualified than Donald Trump or Ted Cruz.

Similarly, Heller’s argument is b.s. NOAA isn’t trying to hide anything. The 1957-1977 data he claims they’re trying to hide is NOAA’s own data. NOAA is one of the sources listed at the top of the article. The reason it’s not included on NOAA’s more recent graph is because the two data sets had significantly different collection parameters. The first includes temperature measurements that were taken at a significantly higher altitude—almost 11,000 feet higher—and temperature drops as altitude increases. It would be like talking about temperature trends in Lake Michigan while mixing in measurements taken in Lake Superior.

You see. Greg thinks that any scientist that doesn’t agree with the high priests of his church, are blasphemers. Even when the ‘so called’ scientists of the AGW Church have been caught red-handed in conspiring to fudge the numbers and in excluding data that doesn’t support their conclusion (as meteorologists within and outside of NOAA caught the agency doing.)

Greg is a snake oil salesman. He doesn’t back his proselytizing up with anything except claims that he is right. We’ve been on to him for years. Greg has this pattern where he pretends to be an expert in things that he doesn’t know jack about. Even arguing with people who actually work within a industry or with the systems, (be it weapon systems, satellites, tracking systems, computer networks, computer forensics, etc…) Greg is a desk chair troll-warrior who sputters utter nonsense as if it is fact, and whom usually only relies on biased websites on those rare occasions when he does bother to try to prove his claims. Often as not, the very links he provides will not actually support his conclusions, and it’s not that rare to find that they prove the opposite. I can only postulate that somewhere in the internal workings of his trollish mind, Greg hopes that by providing a link it may give an appearance of legitimacy to his TS (Troll-Sh*t). God knows he rarely bothers to visit links given by others here that prove Greg is wrong.

Tony Heller aka Steven Goddard has a bachelor’s degree in geology and a masters in electrical engineering. He doesn’t seem to recognize that “World Surface – 100 MB” specifies the range of altitudes over which weather balloons have collected the atmospheric temperature measurements reported on the graph. This is basic enough that I knew it from a general Earth Science class.

I’m not selling snake oil on this threat. I’m pointing the snake oil out.

@GregNobody is telling you what to think. We are telling you that you need to think instead of parroting Al Gore and his buddies in crime. I know that critical thinking is new for you. It is admirable that you still refer to your 6th grade science book with a date of 1955.

@Randy, #19:

It is admirable that you still refer to your 6th grade science book with a date of 1955.

Yet I somehow understood that “World Surface – 100 MB” specified a range of sample altitudes from the ground up to a certain number of feet, as indicated by atmospheric pressure. Maybe someone should buy each republican member of Congress a 6th grade science book as a public service.

Greg -I was actually referring to the bottom chart; the one labeled NOAA Troposphere Temperature Anomaly, the relevant point being

If Greg bothered to actually read the whole article, (which we have noted he has a general tendency not to,) Greg would have noticed that the bottom graph was showing (as Randy noted,) where NOAA only included sufficient data that only seemed to prove (as opposed to proved) their incorrect conclusion. That graph was based on quite a bit of cheery-picked data, including highly questionable sensor data collected from weather sensor stations that originally were rural to suburb located, that have been developed into urban “heat island effect” locations which, when compared with past readings, introduces huge inaccuracies, rendering that data useless for comparative analysis. This has all been explained to Greg numerous times before, but he refuses to even acknowledge these truths, prefering to stick to his AGW Church’s flat-earther theories. Greg then performs an eye-roll inducing “superiority dance,” misrepresenting and then twisting the scientific conclusions of “Tony Heller aka Steven Goddard” in a ridiculous and disingenuous attempt to lamely (and incorrectly) prove that Greg’s antiquated and improperly used 60-year old middle high school knowledge of geology is superior to the author’s.

That a certain number of millibars of atmospheric pressure corresponds to a specific altitude is not antiquated knowledge, it’s an observable scientific fact. That fact hasn’t changed over the past 60 years. That’s what makes a formula possible that allows millibars of atmospheric pressure to be accurately converted to a number that expresses an altitude in feet or meters.

The earlier data set includes temperature samples taken over an altitude range that extends almost 12,000 feet higher up than the later data set. Altitude predictably affects the ambient atmospheric temperature. So, you cannot combine the two data sets into a single meaningful graph.

Don’t take my word for it. Look it up.

You need to look at the adjusted data rather than the raw data and you’ll see a steady increase in temperatures. The data needs to be adjusted to get a true picture of temperatures and temperature change rather than simply what the thermometer says. Weather stations move, usually from warm central urban areas to airports in cooler spots on the outskirts. Also, changes in temperature measuring instruments and methods have generally resulted in lower and more accurate readings in more recent times. In the 19th century, instruments were typically attached to walls of buildings and protected from the sun by metal screens but this had the effect of pushing up temperatures. Sometimes, a thermometer was simply placed on the wall of a tin building, thus the very high temperatures often recorded in this period. A little later, instruments were often put in gardens away from buildings, but infrared radiation from the ground could push temperatures up on calm sunny days. The instruments used to measure temperature also change, such as more accurate thermometers. High-tech automatic weather stations that largely counter the need for data adjustment are now common. The old readings therefore tend to be adjusted down.

@Greg: When someone professes to know facts from actually measurements, one only need to look at the statistical validity of the sample points to disprove their “facts”. In fact, their facts are still only opinion that is used to create a hypothesis which is required to develop a process to minimize confounding elements. This is called the scientific method that we learned in 6th grade. Violating the scientific process never gives one facts, only opinion. It looks like you Greg also failed 6th grade science or you enjoy making foolish comments here.