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New paper finds climate models exaggerate projected warming

The Hockey Schtick:

A paper published today in Geophysical Research Letters finds climate models “suffer from temperature-dependent biases” which “leads to an overestimation of projections of regional temperatures.” According to the authors, “10-20% of projected warming is due to model deficiencies.” The paper adds to many other peer-reviewed papers demonstrating that climate models exaggerate global warming, regional warming, extreme weather, cyclones, extreme precipitation, droughts, and floods.
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, VOL. 39, L24705, 5 PP., 2012
doi:10.1029/2012GL053650
Temperature dependent climate projection deficiencies in CMIP5 models
Key Points

  • GCMs suffer from temperature-dependent biases
  • This leads to an overestimation of projections of regional temperatures
  • We estimate that 10-20% of projected warming is due to model deficiencies

Jens H. Christensen
Danish Climate Centre, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark
Fredrik Boberg
Danish Climate Centre, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark

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