IPCC Scientist Concedes Oceans Have “Profound Effect On Avg Global Surface Air Temperature”

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P Gosselin:

GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel has issued a press release.

In truth it says that the strong warming of 1978 to 1998 is in large part due to Pacific ocean cycles. We can now close the books on the silly CO2 science.

Here is the press release in English (my emphasis):

August 22, 2013/Kiel. Will there be rather warm or cold winters in Germany in the coming years? We may have a long way to go before reliable forecasts of this kind can be achieved. However, marine scientists, under the auspices of the GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, recently managed to successfully hindcast climate shifts in the Pacific.These shifts also have a profound effect on the average global surface air temperature of the Earth. The most recent shift in the 1990s is one of the reasons that the Earth’s temperature has not risen further since 1998. The study, published in the online edition of Journal of Climate, shows the potential for long-term climate predictions.

What happened in the years 1976/77 and 1998/99 in the Pacific was so unusual that scientists spoke of abrupt climate changes. They referred to a sudden warming of the tropical Pacific in the mid-1970s and rapid cooling in the late 1990s. Both events turned the world’s climate topsy-turvy and are clearly reflected in the average temperature of the Earth. Today we know that the cause is the interaction between ocean and atmosphere. Is it possible to successfully predict such climate shifts? This is the question that scientists, under the auspices of the GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, pursued. Using a coupled model of the ocean and the atmosphere, they were able to successfully replicate these events.

The ocean plays a crucial role in our climate system, especially when it comes to fluctuations over several years or decades,” explains Prof. Mojib Latif, co-author of the study.

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Notice, they sort of admit their original models were all wrong.
Then they claim they can replicate reality via some new model!

Using a coupled model of the ocean and the atmosphere, they were able to successfully replicate these events.

Whoop-do-doo!
Now, if everything else just stays the same, they have a model that worked….once.
To ”prove” what already happened.
How much are they getting paid for this???

AGW: The real world example of Monty Python’s “Dead Parrot” skit.

the OCEAN PLAY A CRUCIAL ROLE IN OUR CLIMATE SYSTEM ESPECIALLY WHEN IT COME TO
FLUCTUATIONS OVER SEVERAL YEARS OF DECADES.
THAT TELL ME THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE MAMMALS who habit the OCEANS,
HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO THE FLUCTUATIONS UP AND DOWN,BY BEING SLAUGHTER BY JAPONNESE SHIPS
AT THE RATE OF NOW MULTIPLE THOUSANDS, compare to before.
NOW
they got those giant SHIPS
FOLLOWING EACH OTHER WHERE ONE IS PROCESSING THE WHALE MEAT AND FAT ON THE SPOT,
AND BEFORE WAS LOWER AMOUNT OF FISHING,
SURELY THAT MANY WHALES MUST HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO THE TEMPERATURE OF THE OCEANS WITH THEIR OWN LIVING BREATHING BODY TRAVELLING FROM ONE POLE TO THE OTHER, AND REPRODUCING THEIR SPECIES,
ALL NOW REDUCE TIME BY TIME TO A LOWER NUMBER WHICH SURELY NOW LOWER THE THERMOSTAT TEMPERATURE OF THE OCEAN,
AND NOT EVEN COUNTING THE EXCESS FISHING OF OTHER SMALLER FISH FOR A HUMANITY INCREASING THEIR NUMBER, AND THEIR NEED TO FEED THEMSELVES,
and not counting the amount of garbage OF ALL KINDS OF WEIGHT AND DANGEROUS TOXINS let in the OCEAN TO DISINTEGRATE BY ITSELF EACH
PRODUCING THEIR HEAT BY DISINTEGRATION ON THEIR CAPABILITY TO DISAPPEAR,
AS IF THERE IS NO TOMORROW,