Hardliners vs. the ‘Sane’ Crowd in the Ukrainian Conflict

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by SIMPLICIUS THE THINKER

Well, there’s been a bit of a lull like a post-manic-high comedown after the events of Prigozhin’s Revolt. Partly, it’s owed to what Western press is claiming to be bad weather on the frontlines this week, which has hampered further Ukrainian attempts to make renewed advances. They’ve made them in spurts which have been mostly rebuffed with large losses, as usual.

In hindsight, so far most of my predictions about the ‘offensive’ were quite accurate. A couple months ago, once I felt comfortable with my feeling for the AFU’s true troop dispositions and conditions, I said that most likely there will be no true offensive at all, nor will they achieve any kind of breakthrough whatsoever. This was while other Russian-sphere personalities understandably conditioned their audience for at least major breakthroughs up to the second or third echelons. I ended up concluding that there will be no real offensive because they will call it off after being destroyed and claim that it was all just ‘probing’ all along.

Now, as expected, they’re shifting the narrative to one of needing an airforce. Not only did I post Arestovich’s interview recently, where he ridiculed NATO’s hypocrisy for expecting Ukraine to make huge advancements without air cover, counter to NATO’s own doctrines, but now a new interview with the resurfaced Zaluzhny echoes the same sentiments:

The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Zaluzhny, complained in an interview with The Washington Post, saying that Western partners are driving them forward for meat assaults, without giving aviation and supplies:

“…Western allies expect quick successes, although they themselves would never start without air superiority – while Ukraine has not received modern fighters.”

But since obtaining fighter jets is not realistic in the near term future, the dialogue continues shifting to one of negotiations. German broadcaster ARD stated that a secret international meeting on Ukraine was held in Copenhagen days ago, on June 24th, where diplomats of various Western countries met with BRICs representatives in an effort to figure out a way to convince Russia on how to settle the conflict peacefully. ARD concludes that official negotiations on resolving the conflict could occur as early as July:

Official negotiations on resolving the conflict in Ukraine could take place as early as July, ARD TV channel reported.

According to him, an international meeting on Ukraine was held in Copenhagen on June 24 “in the strictest secrecy” with the participation of diplomats from Western countries, as well as representatives of Brazil, India, China and South Africa.

The TV channel noted that the West’s goal was to enlist the support of these BRICS countries, which still remain neutral in the situation around Ukraine. The talks were held at the initiative of Kiev⚡️⚡️⚡️

Official negotiations to resolve the Ukrainian conflict will begin next month, according to the German TV channel ARD.

Particular attention in this context is paid to the participation of the BRICS countries, which have so far remained neutral in relation to the situation in Ukraine. It is reported that one of the main goals of the West at this meeting was to obtain support from these countries.

According to the ARD TV channel, the negotiations were initiated by Kiev. This gives some hope for progress in resolving the Ukrainian issue, because official negotiations between the parties may take place as early as July.

At the moment, the details of the upcoming negotiations and the specific timing of their holding remain unknown. However, apparently, both sides are demonstrating a readiness for a productive dialogue and a desire to find ways to resolve the contradictions that exist between them.

 

 
It’s impossible to know how true this is, however it does align with my previous predictions so I give it a fairly high confidence. Right now, the stage we’re at is the dawning of the harsh realities on Western publics and their administrators. They have already begun to see the futility of Ukraine’s attempt to win back territory and likewise, they see the growing threat of a major nuclear catastrophe.

Not that I agree with it, but just to give a sample from the other side, here’s what Ukrainian dissident Leonid Vershinin says about the above. He claims that Moscow is holding secret negotiations and is willing to give the ZNPP away as another ‘goodwill gesture’. However, he says such an agreement was not reached, and thus Ukraine is ready to attack the ZNPP:

“In early May, I do not remember the exact day, I actually wrote that I would write rarely until June 22, and so it happened. I wrote seldom, and I simply threw the most interesting things I agreed with into my cart, seeing no point in repeating the obvious over and over again. Now I’ll explain.

The thing is that about a month and a half ago people I trust told me that there are very close negotiations at the very top between Moscow and its partners and Moscow is ready for the broadest concessions, while the partners demand as a good will gesture to cede the ZPP to Kiev promising that in this case Kiev will look upon the return of Energodar as a “victory” and will change from anger to mercy and will agree to talk. According to their data, the deadline was defined as June 22nd. And in case if the Muscovites refuse from this goodwill gesture, the West will “volunteer” the second wave of the “counterattack” – all the forces of “Ukraine”, aiming at the Crimean strait and Energodar, and in parallel organizing blows to the Kherson Region and the border regions of Russia. By now, I believe, it is clear that no agreement was reached, and the coming two weeks before the NATO summit will be, shall we say, not easy.

Just by my feeling, I may predict the main events on June 26-29, but I cannot predict their outcome, although I believe in Russian army. If it is not betrayed at the very top, it will stand. But I am afraid that if it does hold out, the Muscovites will use it to make a disastrous bargain.

But recall, there are two opposing camps in the West—the hardliners and the ‘sane’ crowd. The hardliners will continue pushing for escalation because their masters at the top of the elite pyramid will never allow Russia to secure any type of decisive victory, no matter how many people die, because for them it is existential. With Russia’s victory will come the eventual collapse of the entire Western order, which means the hundreds of years old banking cabal that has ruled the globe with an iron fist. Those ancient families at the top cannot allow Russia to win.

However, contrary to conspiracy theorists, these elites are not ‘all powerful’. They can be thwarted and their voices overwhelmed by the outcries of the ‘sane’ guard. I don’t mean that in some schmaltzy tinfoil QAnon “the Whitehats/Forces of Light will overcome evil!” type of way, but rather in a realpolitik, logical one. The ‘bad guys’ are somewhat hampered by the fact they have to play along and can’t go fully ‘mask off’ in revealing their true intentions. Thus, when backed into certain ideological corners, where going against the grain exposes their truly evil agenda, they can be made—at least temporarily—to back off and regroup.

Unfortunately, for now, the hardliners, at least within Ukraine, are still pushing for total escalation. The Zaporozhye nuclear falseflag scenario is still rolling along, stronger than ever with a spate of new developments.

Firstly, there are said to be nuclear drills now conducted in Nikopol by the Ukrainian regime, right on the other side of Energodar and the ZNPP area:


 

 
Not to mention that Polish officials now too are handing out radiation safety flyers, in clear preparation for ‘something’:


 

 
And the following report:

💥💥💥Some Ukrainian telegram channels received information that servicemen from the 124th and 126th brigades of the Teroboron Defense Brigade, as well as the 406th Independent Artillery Brigade of the AFU conducted radiochemical and biological protection exercises on the territory of the right-bank part of the Kherson region.💥💥💥

Ukrainian health minister Viktor Lyashko went on TV to gentle the Ukrainians’ concerns by telling them that Kiev would not be affected by a ZNPP nuclear disaster, but still cautioning them to be careful and follow guidelines:


 
Not to mention it was announced that new radiation detectors were installed around Kiev to monitor the potential situation—as if that’s not foreboding at all.

Additional sensors have been installed in Kiev to measure the level of radiation. Two new devices were installed in Goloseevsky and Svyatoshinsky districts, said Alexander Vozniy, director of the Department of Environmental Protection of the Kiev City State Administration. Thus, seven sensors are currently operating in Kiev, which transmit information about the level of radiation in real time to the Kiev Digital application.

These evacuations were reportedly ordered in the Nikopol area opposite the ZNPP on the basis of a radiological event:

 

 

 
Zelensky also had a telephone call with Canada’s Trudeau where he warned him about Russia’s impending attack:

☢️🇺🇦📞🇨🇦Zelensky discussed the situation around the Zaporozhye NPP with Canadaian Prime Minister Trudeau

“I had the first of a series of important telephone conversations with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau… I drew the Prime Minister’s attention to the threatening situation that … was created at the Zaporozhye NPP … Ukraine’s partners should demonstrate a principled reaction, in particular, at the Vilnius NATO summit,” Zelensky wrote in his telegram channel.

For its part, though, the U.S. has stated they have not yet seen any such signs that Russia intends to attack the ZNPP:

The United States does not see any evidence that there is a threat of undermining the Zaporozhye NPP by the forces of the Russian Federation, as Kiev claims. This was announced on Monday at a briefing by the coordinator for strategic communications at the White House National Security Council, John Kirby.

“We have not seen any signs that this threat [of undermining the NPP by Russian forces] is imminent, but we are watching it very closely,” he said.

Kirby also said that the United States has the ability to monitor the radiation situation near the NPP, but did not inform about the current state of the radiation background. At the same time, on June 23, he also said that “the United States is not currently recording an increase in radiation levels in the area of the Zaporozhye NPP.”

This could be their attempt to defuse and/or distance themselves from the situation in the similar way they tried to do with the Nordstream attacks. But it could also be a signal to Ukraine that “we don’t have your back, don’t do this”. As I wrote about before, I believe that Ukraine could be going rogue on this plan and in fact using it to ‘blackmail’ the U.S./EU/NATO into the arms supplies and security guarantees it wants by holding the nuclear dagger over them like a sword of Damocles, with the threat that “if you don’t give us what we want, we’ll force you into WW3 against Russia.”

With that said, don’t be fooled by my statement that U.S./Ukraine are necessarily at odds in this. It’s much more complicated than that. You see, there are many different factions within the U.S. itself, much of whom operate in complete isolation and with independence away from the overt top level and ostensible ‘governing’ bodies. The CIA and all the various compartmentalized SCIF groups within the U.S. government, which represent the ‘deep state’ in the truest sense of the word, are likely in on such plans, either facilitating, coordinating, or outright designing them, without the approval or oversight of the top level superficial governance apparatuses.

Perhaps this is what was discussed in the recent trip?

 
It’s the same way that 9/11 was carried out and ISIS was created—by such groups buried deep within the folds of the U.S. intelligence state in total secrecy and seclusion away from the top level officials.

 
And as my readers will recall my warning about Western MSM enablers shilling for the regime and helping them to cover for the upcoming nuclear falseflag. We’ve finally seen our first true effort in this vein, as Sky News made up a fraudulent report to condition the masses that Russia has a flimsy hold on the ZNPP, and its troops are already starting to retreat from it—which is completely false:

Sky News

Russian forces starting to leave Europe’s biggest nuclear power plant, says Ukraine

Russian forces are starting to leave the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, according to Ukraine’s main department of intelligence for the defence ministry.

Moscow’s troops have occupied the facility since March last year, and Ukraine has recently carried out nuclear disaster response drills in anticipation of a potential attack.

Concerns have been raised about the security of the plant throughout the war, with both sides blaming each other for attacks on its building.

A number of workers have been instructed to leave the plant by 5 July, Kyiv’s main intelligence directorate said in a Telegram post.

“According to the latest data, the occupation contingent is gradually leaving the territory of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. One of the first to leave the plant were three Rosatom employees who were in charge of the Russians’ actions.

“Ukrainian employees who signed a contract with Rosatom were also advised to evacuate. According to the instructions received, they should leave by July 5.”

It also emphasised that the number of military patrols are “gradually decreasing” around the plant

You’ll recall how I explained that such tactics would be used by the Western press to sell a distorted narrative of Russia’s increasing “desperation” as their grasp on the power plant weakens, which will set up the obvious conclusion of Putin’s “desperate strike” to destroy the plant he can’t have in a bid of “if I can’t have it no one can”.

As can be seen, they’re already laying that conditioning ground work.

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There is a little bit of sanity in the EU.
Hungary opposes EU plan to grant more money to Ukraine says PM Viktor Orban.
If they do manage to negotiate some useless soon to be ignored treaty, there is still much money to be laundered in the “rebuilding”. (see Iraq and Bidens brothers conracts)