Gallup: Obama’s Lead, Among Registered Voters, Drops to… One

Ace @ Ace of Spades HQ:

And the same logic from the beginning of the bounce applies here. In the beginning of the bounce, it was thought that Obama’s lead would grow over the next week, as the seven-day track included days from before DNC. Ergo, as those relatively bad days for Obama dropped off the track, we could expect the lead to grow.

Which is about what happened.

But now the best days of this track, for Obama, come earlier in the track, and will soon be dropping out of it. Meaning that Obama’s one point lead will probably vanish, and Romney might even go ahead by a point or two.

There are two ways to analyze this election, or decide to cast a vote: The first, strongly strongly strongly favored by Obama and even moreso, if you can believe that, by the media, is to look at the two campaigns and decide which campaign is “doing a better job” and say that that campaign is the winner.

The other way is to look at the facts. Not the spin and the arguments and the surrogates and the ads, but the actual facts of America in Fall 2012.

The world is burning. Our credit has been downgraded again. Debt is at $16 trillion and rising like a rocket. 23 million Americans are out of work, or working part-time instead of full-time (against their wishes), or have simply given up searching for work at all.

Now, given the facts, I have no question why Obama and the media want this to be a comparison of the respective campaigns (and gaffes!). Apparently Romney Said A Dirty Word at a fundraiser; the media is very, very insistent we talk a lot about that.

Never the facts. Never what’s actually happening.

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