Crimea, and another stunning US intelligence failure.

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Brad:

U.S. intelligence estimates conclude that Russia has no intention of invading Ukraine. This, despite the launch of a massive, new Russian military exercise near Ukraine’s border and moves from armed men to seize two key airports in the country’s Crimea region.

The latest developments led Ukraine’s interior minister Arsen Avakov Friday to accuse Russia of invading the Russian majority province of Crimea after armed militias took control of the civilian airport in Simferopol, the region’s capital and the military airport in Sevastopol, where Russia’s Black Sea fleetis based. Russian authorities meanwhile have denied any responsibility for the seizure of the two airports in the region.

Really? When the “cease fire” in Kiev between the Yanukovych regime and the protesters was announced, the first thing most people noticed was that it was due to expire the day the Winter Olympics ended. Smart money around the blogs was that as soon as the spotlight was off Sochi, Russian forces would intervene, in one manner or another.

Given the large ethnic Russian population in Crimea, and the critical Russian bases on the peninsula, the only question was (and still is) will the Russians be content with just Crimea, or will they attempt to retake all of Ukraine?

Actually, make no doubt, Russia will attempt to retake all of Ukraine. We doubt they will do so through military occupation (though a ginned up emergency is hardly out of the question), but though economic and political coercion. Russia (especially Putin, but a goodly percentage of the  man-on-the-street population as well) simply cannot conceive of a Ukraine that falls outside the Russian sphere of influence.

How is it that our intelligence community has such an incredibly poor grasp of history and culture that they cannot see that which is plainly before them?

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It is quite obvious that none of the IC members ever read Anticipating Surprise: Analysis of Strategic Warning by Cynthia M. Grabo. Very good book, the chapter on Military Indications and Warnings and Political Factors for Warning contain a great deal of valuable information that has merit to this, another in the long line of IC, failures. The book is not expensive and is often sold as used on Amazon or other vendor sights.
Blame the narcissists hagel and clapper. Add feinstein and rogers to the list of fools. Do not forget the idiot kerry who is still banging the war drums for an invasion of Syria.

we are seeing the problem in UKRAINE,
like some part of that COUNTRY is STRONG HOLDS OF RUSSIANS,
WHILE ANOTHER PART IS A STRONG HOLD OF MUSLIMS,
THE OTHR IS UKRAINIANS WITH ROOTS ON THE GROUND,
DOES IT WARN US OF WHAT WE ARE LETTING HAPPEN HERE,
AND THE CONSEQUENCES OF ALLOWING STANGERS IN YOUR COUNTRY,
TO ONE DAY BECOME MASTER AND DECIDING YOUR LIFE,
we should see the same danger will happen here some day might be sooner than we want,
this administraion is adding and speeding the outrage by promoting abortion of the rooted people,
which is an anathema for any country, speeding the lost of the future generation speaking english america,
for replacing it by any foreign tongue, religion and creed mentality,who don’t want to assimilate,
and we see it in schools by what the american born have started to feel their pressure,
and always told that false citation by teachers and any one in power, that is, WE DON’T WANT TO OFFEND,
THIS IS OFFENDING AMERICANS MORE BECAUSE IT TELL THEM TO YELD THEIR PLACE YELD THEIR CONVINCTION YELD THEIR PUBLIC EXPRESSION OF THEIR LOVE AND BELONGING TO AMERICA,
TO GOD JESUS HIS SON AND THE HOLY SPIRIT, IT TELL THE YOUNG AND OTHER AMERICAN TO STOP BEING AMERICAN TO BECOME ASHAME OF LOVING AMERICA publicly,, AND AS YEARS GO BY MORE OUTSIDERS ARRIVE, IT IS CRUSHING THE AMERICANS IN THEIR CORE, AND IT WILL LEAD TO MORE NEGATIVE EXPLOSIVE ACTIONS,
DO YOU SEE THE DANGER TO LOOSE CONTROL OF YOUR COUNTRY NOW AS WE SPEAK IN PROGRESS,
SLOWLY BUT SURELY LIKE THE SNAKE OF THE CREATION RAMPING UNSEEN TO SILENCE US ALL,
TO END UP BY KILLING US BY CHOKING US, EVER SLOWLY,
THE UKRAINIANS ARE NOW IN THEIR EXPLOSIVES TIMES,
AND READY TO DIE to save their country for their children,
FOR HAVING YELD TO OUTSIDER,
NOW WHO HAVE PROCREATE ENOUGH TO HAVE A SECOND AND THIRD GENERATION HOLDING THEIR GROUND SOLID,
they are MUSLIMS FROM MIDDLE EAST, AND RUSSIAN FROM RUSSIA AND OTHER,
while here in AMERICA
THE GROUND WHICH BELONG TO THE ROOTED DEEP ON THE GROUND AMERICANS WHO WHERE KILLED FOR PROTECTING THE FREEDOM IN AMERICA, OR ARE WOUNDED BADLY UNABLE TO LIVE BY THEMSELVES FREE, LIKE WHAT THEY GAVE AND SPILL THEIR BLOOD FOR, AND LOST THEIR GROUND OF WHEN THEY WHERE BEFORE TO OUTSIDERS,
MANY CAME BACK TO LIVE UNDER A RULE OF HOSPITAL,
OTHER LIVE IN THE STREET, SILENT, NOT COMPLANING,
THEY BECAME SHADOW OF THIS AMERICA,

The problem is that our intelligence agencies are telling the boy emperor and his staff what they want to hear, and not what is factual. Which, throughout history, has always meant national suicide.
How many in the leadership of our intelligence community have been replaced with Obama sycophants who know that their continued employment depend upon not disturbing the emperor’s omnipotence phantasies?
And this whiny little boy doesn’t bother to even vote “present” at his intelligence briefings any more.
The USA is dying. Multiple generations built it, and now two or three are destroying it by voting for promises of ease.

This president doesn’t attend hardly any security, intelligence, or any other kids of meetings, he seldom meets with his cabinet, but he meets or talks daily with union, socialist, and muslim people. When you have as many people pulling your strings as obama does, you don’t have to do any thinking. Just go out and enjoy life as if your subjects want you to keep spending more of THEIR money, then read a speech once-in-a-while from your TOTUS that has been prepared by your advisers. The only worry obama has is if his TOTUS fails, because he hasn’t rehearsed the speech he is reading.

Petercat
hi,
I was reading that UKRAINE OWN NUCLEOR FACILITY,
THE CONFLICT IS MORE DANGEROUS WITH IT,
BYE

Tennessee Football Coach fired for making Obama song. He’ll make more money when this song becomes a big hit than he would teaching school.

Tennessee middle school assistant football coach, age 26, fired for a song he wrote and played!
This could be the next number one hit country song. It’s the best effort yet at encapsulating the outrage at the oversteps of this government in an entertaining song.

Apparently, the guy was fired over the song because some parents complained. If you like it, help it go “viral” by passing it along to everyone you know.
Click for a Great Song!!!

http://video.staged.com/dtglobal59/tennessee_football_coach_fired_for_making_obama_so

MOS-8541
thank you for the gift,
YES IT’S VERY GOOD, HE SURE CAN SING, AND HE’S A BRAVE YOUNG MAN,
GIVE HIM A BETTER JOB WHICH IS FOR LIFE,
ON THE NEXT ELECTION, HE IS A GUARDIEN OF THE FLAG,

I THINK THE RUSSIANS LIVING IN UKRAINE IF THEY GIVE THEIR ALLEGIANCE TO PUTIN,
THEY SHOULD GO BACK TO RUSSIA,
SAME FOR OTHER LIVING IN UKRAINE WIT STILL ALLEGIANCE TO THEIR PREVIOUS COUNTRY,
UKRAINE ACCEPTED THEM AS FULL PARTICIPANT IN TIME OF PEACE, AND IF THEY DON’T SUPPORT UKRAINE IN TIME OF HURT, THEY SHOULD BE TOLD TO RETURN TO THEIR COUNTRY OF ALLEGIANCE, AND UKRAINE HAS A RIGHT TO DO IT,
SAME HERE IN THE USA, YOU ARE WITH US UNDER THE SAME FLAG OR YOU ARE GIVING YOUR ALLEGIANCE TO A PREVIOUS COUNTRY, THEN YOU SHOULD RETURN THERE, YOU HAVE BECOME OF NO USE TO AMERICA WITH YOUR FLAG, AND YOU ARE NOT WANTED,

@MOS-8541: #6
This song has been out for some time. I downloaded it from iTunes 9-8-2013. I don’t know when it was written.