by Natalie Neysa Alund
He was wrong.
Or so the American people decided.
Allan Lichtman, the historian who predicted 9 of the 10 last elections, failed to accurately predict who voters would chose to become the 47th president of the United States.
In a stunning political comeback, ex-President Donald Trump defeated Vice President and Democratic nominee Kamala Harris to reclaim the White House Tuesday night.
“Right now after a very long night I am taking some time off to assess why I was wrong and what the future holds for America,” Lichtman told USA TODAY Wednesday morning.
Lichtman, an American University professor, had predicted Harris would narrowly beat Trump.
Trump, who lost the 2020 election that thrust President Joe Biden into the seat, overcame political obstacles, including two impeachments, a criminal conviction, and two attempted assassination attempts.
At the end of a nearly six-hour podcast hosted by his son Samuel Lichtman Tuesday, the 77-year-old history professor said he was shocked at the election’s outcome.
‘At a certain point, the math just doesn’t math anymore’
The famous prognosticator had said his ’13 keys’ system showed Harris would win.
Using his system, the 77-year-old man has correctly predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1984. His only blemish came in 2000 when Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore.
“This is probably the most consequential election certainly in my lifetime,” Lichtman said during the start of the interview watched by more than 1.1 million viewers. “The fate of our country hangs in the balance here. Democracy is precious but it can be destroyed.”
Lichtman touted nationwide exit-poll results showed democracy rising as a major issue among voters, with the economy still at number one, followed by issues including abortion (14%) and immigration (11%).
“If she can pull off Pennsylvania she still has a good shot,” Lichtman said just before the last hour of the show before Nevada results came in. “She’s running out of votes.”
“At a certain point the math just doesn’t math anymore,” his son said towards the end of the interview. “This show has just been nuts…I think we are both a little surprised.”
Lichtman: ‘I think she lost’
During the last hour, as Lichtman and his son analyzed votes in swing state Pennsylvania, his son called the election.
“I think she lost,” his son said during the last 10 minutes of the show.
“I do too,” Lichtman immediately responded then placed both hands to his temples. “Something ridiculous would have to happen… I’m still looking for a Pennsylvania miracle but I don’t think we’re going to have it.”
“I’ve gotten a lot of very nice emails,” Lichtman told his son, “Saying no matter what happens they greatly respect my vote.”
“The math doesn’t work,” Lichtman said. “The numbers don’t lie.”
“I can’t believe it,” his son said. “I’m kind of in shock right now… I just can’t believe it after this guy has essentially attempted to take down our democracy already, that people what to give him another chance.”
His father responded, “It is hard to believe.”
The professor then left listeners with final words for the night:
“Never lose hope. Never stop fighting,” Lichtman said before signing off of the podcast. “Democracy is worth saving… even if it didn’t go the way you expected tonight. Don’t despair The future is still in your hands. Good night.”
Provisional votes were slated to be counted Wednesday.
(title via Kane)
His “thirteen keys” should have told him kamala would LOSE, not win.
She failed on 9 out of the thirteen!
2 There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
kamala had NO nominating process, she was installed.
5 The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
Everybody but those who name recessions knew we are in a recession.
6 Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
Inflation is NOT real per capita growth, it is fake growth.
8 There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
Actually, people were paid off to stay home.
Trump’s rallies were a peaceful way to express unrest.
9 The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
The media hid every scandal joe and kamala were involved in.
Lichtman had to realize this.
10 The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
Covering up foreign affair failures doesn’t make them go away.
11 The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
Name one.
12 The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
Hardly. kamala was the opposite of charismatic.
13 The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.
Trump is highly charismatic and his past work as president made him a national hero.
Imagine that – math still works! He probably can’t figure out how Nixon won when everyone he knew voted for Goldwater
#9 Wasn’t the Afghanistan catastrophic withdrawal sort of a scandal? The laptop? Censorship? Brinton? Offshore accounts, money laundering, millions of dollars, “loans”, tax evasion? Yeah, the Robin Ware/Robert L. Peters/JRB Ware/Pedo Peter/idiot Biden regime was almost as “scandal-free” as the Obama regime.
#10 Again, Afghanistan. Then, Ukraine and Gaza. In fact, Robin Ware/Robert L. Peters/JRB Ware/Pedo Peter/idiot Biden’s foreign policy has apparently been to embarrass the United States as much as possible.
Hard to imagine anyone being more delusional than the author of this dumbassery.
I listened to prediction shows on late night radio astrology seems to be the most accurate. The never Trumper numerologist called in election night as the red tide rolled in and changed her prediction lol. Oh how hopes can sway our system eyes wide shut.