If the Republican Presidential race were a poker game, you could say that Palin, the underdog has remained in late position long enough to see the full ring, to expose the live ones. She’s learned theirtells, and she’s seen some bust, but now it’s time for her to go all in with what looks to be a royal flush.
If you’re not a poker player, you may need a poker dictionary to decipher my analogy. And “they” think she doesn’t know how the game of politics is played. The good old boys just never realized that she wasn’t playing by their rules.
If, or rather when, Sarah Palin announces her candidacy for President; Republican polls will likely shift in her favor. There are droves of Republicans and Independents who like Sarah Palin and what she stands for. But if there is one common thread you will hear as a negative, it is “but I don’t think she can win.” Yet she continues to pack in larger crowds than declared presidential candidates. The media loves to hate her, and to her credit, she’s probably the most highly-vetted potential candidate the country has ever seen.
It’s looking more and more these days as if Sarah Palin will announce her run for the White House in short order. If you keep up with Palin’s history, you may come to the conclusion that there is no accident in her decision to go to Iowa September 3rd for what many believe will be her big announcement. September 3, 2011 is three years, to the day, that Sarah Palin accepted the nomination for Vice President and gave her famously rousing speech during the Republican National Convention. In the last few days, even those in the media have noted that it appears that Sarah Palin will announce in the early weeks of September.
Palin herself has even alluded to as much August 18th when she said,
Palin is the best Republican candidate to withstand a billion dollar negative assault by Obama and his allies in the media. Bullets will bounce off her and the usual Democrat onslaught of negative attacks will backfire. Many womens groups will resent the negative attacks and come out in support of Palin in the end. If She picks Bolton as her VP, it will round out my dream ticket. Palin can cover American energy production (which will lower the price of gasoline) and all of the Obama impediments to business expansion. Bolton can bring back a strong American Foreign Policy. The benefits of a Palin/Bolton Administration will sweep in a Republican Senate and bolster the Republican House. What’s not to like! 🙂
Yes, she can pack a crowd. So can Garth Brooks.
Yes, she is the most vetted person since George Washington.
But, no, she can’t win.
Major donors are not going to back her and she is not going to get the bundlers required to build a campaign fund chest that is going to be required in this race. Pulling in the independents is key, and many independents have a negative attitude toward Palin. And running around the country on a bus, making a reality show and writing a book doesn’t give you a record to run on during the economic turn down.
And if Palin intends on running, and is going to announce it early September, what happens to her scheduled appearance with Glen Beck in St. Louis on October 7th? I don’t think Beck will want to appear as backing any one candidate at this point.
Palin has achieved rock star status. So did Obama and we know how well that has worked out. No, they are not the same people with the same viewpoints, but come on, folks, all this idol worship is a little misplaced, don’t you think?
IMO the GOP will have trouble winning with Palin. Too many independents (like me) inclined to conservative fiscal policies won’t want to vote for her because of the perception created by the media. Whether this manufactured perception is fair or not, it is what it is. Another issue is that she, like Obama, seems light on experience compared with some of the other contenders. Allowing herself to be hounded out of office didn’t exactly show her in the best light as a potential commander in chief. Turning herself into a media personality for the past few years also hasn’t done anything to deepen her resume. JMHO.
@Doug:
Been purusing the polling that has include Palin. In every poll, she trails behind Romney and Perry. In Wisconsin, Perry and Bachmann are tied, with with Romney at 13% and Palin trailing at 11%. Same in Colorado, South Carolina, Florida. And Florida is going to be in play, again, big time.
She will not carry the independs and they are the ones who are going to call this race.
@Doug:
errr …
Too many independents (like me) inclined to conservative fiscal policies won’t want to vote for her because of the perception created by the media.
Excuse me? You are placing any trust, whatsoever, in the image created by and for the media, in order to further their own objective, of electing “the one” to the highest office in the land?
So the media created this rockstar superstar status for “the one”. Look at how well that worked out. We got an empty suit, a clueless twit who doesn’t stand with our friends, but coddles our enemies, and who fiddles and golfs while main street closes up shop.
Seems to me that the only … ONLY media based indicator that anyone should use, is to find out who they like, and vote for the other person. But thats just me. A fiscal conservative, otherwise independent voter. Someone who owns a business and would be one of them thar “fat cats” if Obama had his way. So instead of hiring 2 more people this year, had I not switched us from an LLC to a C corp, I would have had to lay off people as my taxes would have gone way up.
That you or anyone could, in good conscious, consider voting to return the current empty suit to the presidential office is beyond me. The current president has been a complete and utter train wreck in a fiscal sense. His policies and actions have turned a raging recession into an outright depression, has destroyed more wealth and caused more small businesses to avoid hiring than anything else I’ve heard of. Yet you would consider returning this …. man …. to the highest office in the land?
Are you mad?
Seriously? Are you?
If you were really an independent, you would seek to minimize evil. Which is more evil … an obviously poorly portrayed in-the-extraordinarily-biased-media chief executive of a state that, after FOI came to fruition was found to be … a caring and intelligent chief executive, really focused upon the business of the state, and doing a good job of working with business … or an empty suit who has laid economic waste to huge tracts of this country with his actions, his proposals, his “successes”, whom has alienated friends, and coddled enemies, who is viewed the world over as a weak amateur.
Which is more evil? Seems fairly obvious to me.
Lets pretend you are an independent for a moment. I don’t believe it, I think you are a liberal, but lets pretend you are independent. You have these two candidates, two track records, one pretty good, but short, and one so terrible and wrong at a fiscal level … that this country may never recover from their policies. Pretending you are independent, the media portrayal of one of the candidates as gods gift to humanity, and the other as a clueless twit … this shouldn’t factor into your voting decision … if you really were independent.
If on the other hand you were a lib, then its quite likely that you’d want to bias your opponents decision into running a weaker candidate. You know as a lib that you have a terrible candidate, and that as other libs have expressed severe buyers remorse recently, Hillary would have been (far) better. So you need to get your opponent to run what you perceive to be a worse candidate. So you plant false flags to try to convince others not to pursue the stronger candidates.
I am convinced that this union cannot withstand another 4 years of the current president’s attention. I will, as an independent, fiscal conservative, be voting for the lesser of the evils. Which is anyone the republicans nominate.
Ms. Palin is no worse, and considerably better than, most of the crowd. So far, Perry, Bachmann and Palin seem to be the best remaining in the mix, and Palin isn’t in the mix.
But it doesn’t matter to me who is nominated, as most of the republicans are very pro business, and focused upon not killing off the engines of the economy… actually getting the hell out of the way of the engine of the economy, and letting it do its work.
A real independent would know this. And wouldn’t let media portrayals factor into their votes.
A real fiscal conservative independent wouldn’t even consider giving Mr. Obama a second term, regardless of who ran against him.
I’m sorry Doug, I simply don’t believe you are an independent fiscal conservative. You sound like a liberal to me. Having been one in the dim and distant past, until I was figuratively mugged, I know what they sound like. I know their tactics. Planting false flags is one of them.
If … if I am wrong … I apologize in advance. I don’t think I am though. If the media influences you, then … really … you aren’t independent. And if you even consider giving Mr. Obama a second term over ANY competitor … yeah, you really aren’t a fiscal conservative either.
EdwinF From a Dems. prospective Palin/Bolton is truly a dream ticket.
On another note. Great news from Tripoli as the madman and sons go down
Semper Fi
@John Galt:
I’m only telling you what the perception is held by millions of others whose opinion is shaped by mass media. Don’t shoot the messenger.
My response to “Big Government”–the acknowledged source of this article:
Actually, I can’t wait ’til Palin enters the race–she’ll round out the Republican cast of cartoon characters now entered just fine. I guess it will really be determined on the basis of whether her financial advisers think she’ll make more money for her retirement by running or not.