It’s easy to be a Ukrainian war hawk when you’re playing poker with house money

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Donald Trump’s peace plan for the Ukraine/Russia conflict is coming under fire from some entertaining quarters. There is, of course, the domestic whining from the likes of John Bolton, who said

“I think we know exactly what’s gonna happen. President Trump has effectively surrendered to Putin before the negotiations have even begun.”

I asked Grok what Bolton’s solution to the conflict and it said this:

  • No Negotiations with Russia: At various times, Bolton has argued against negotiating with Russia from a position of anything less than strength. He believes that as long as the conflict can be won militarily, talks with Russia to resolve the conflict through political means should be avoided, as they would only serve to legitimize Russian gains.
  • Long-term Commitment: He has suggested that the conflict might be protracted, likening it to historical long wars like the Thirty or Hundred Years War, indicating that Americans should not expect a quick resolution. He believes Putin might be playing a long game, possibly waiting for a more favorable U.S. administration or situation to negotiate from a position of strength.

Hmmm. We’ll come back to that.

The UK Minister of Defense said this on X

There can be no negotiation about Ukraine without Ukraine. Ukraine’s voice must be at the heart of any talks. It’s our job to put them in the best possible position to secure lasting peace through strength.

The Weimar + nations issued a statement

It was issued by one Kaja Kallas. And it got a response

Germany decided that the new US policy required the re-introduction of fascism.

It’s easy to have big balls when you have no human skin in the game. They are all gung-ho as long as they can play with Ukrainian lives as house money.

I have posed questions to all of the above.

  • How long should the war go on?
  • How many Ukrainian lives are you willing to sacrifice on the altar of righteousness?
  • When will you send troops from your nations to fight once the Ukrainians run out of soldiers?

I have yet to get an answer. Then today Nancy Cordes dropped this one- the reality has dawned.

War hawk Michael McFaul, who has been relentless in demanding a military victory, also caved.

Trump is once again right.

On this blog I have predicting a negotiated settlement for a long time and frankly, Bolton frightens me. A thirty- or one-hundred-year war? Seriously? That is ridiculous. Bolton is a war hawk on steroids.

Russia has what it wants- the Eastern provinces and a land bridge to the Black Sea. It will settle for that but nothing short of a nuclear war will push Putin out of what he now holds. The Eastern provinces were separatist and pro-Russian as the conflict began.

In return, I expect a security agreement along the lines of what Pete Hegseth has proposed and a deal for US mineral rights.

A lot of democrats are running around blathering about Trump but not offering any alternatives.

I do trust Trump to make a deal placating Putin and benefiting the US.

Maybe if Obama didn’t screw with the 2014 Ukrainian elections and maybe if he responded to Putin annexing Crimea and maybe if Biden didn’t say a minor incursion by Russia into Ukraine was acceptable and maybe if Biden didn’t virtually guarantee that Ukraine could join NATO none of this would have happened.

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In the meantime, one solution is to take every foreign criminal in America and Europe and offer them as conscripts in the Ukrainian army.