Feb 2, 2009 article from the Washington Independent on Rasmussen’s accuracy of registered voters, compared to others.

Other pollsters, whose results sometimes vary greatly from Rasmussen’s, respect the rival firm’s process and its ability to grab headlines. Brent Goldrick, a vice president at Financial Dynamics who conducts the monthly Hotline-Diageo poll, was surprised at the closeness of Rasmussen’s generic ballot poll. His most recent poll, conducted in the days after President Barack Obama’s inauguration, gave Democrats a 46-22 lead in the Congressional generic ballot, and gave Democrats in Congress an approval rating 23 points higher than the Republicans. “As the Republicans have become a little more engaged in the policy debate,” said Goldrick, “it doesn’t surprise me that numbers would come up from 22 percent.”

It’s hard for pollsters to knock Rasmussen’s accuracy, especially its election polling. The final pre-election Hotline-Diageo poll had given Barack Obama a 50-45 point lead over John McCain, while the final Rasmussen Reports poll gave Obama a 52-46 lead. Both were close to the result, but Rasmussen was closest.

But where Rasmussen Reports really distinguishes itself, and the reason it’s so often cited by conservatives, is in its issue polling. Before the stimulus debate began, Rasmussen asked voters whether they’d favor stimulus plans that consisted entirely of tax cuts or entirely of spending. Tax cuts won every time, and Republicans began citing this when they argued for a tax-cut-only stimulus package.

Every week that the economic stimulus package was being debated by Congress, Rasmussen asked voters whether they “favor[ed] or oppose[ed] the economic recovery package proposed by Barack Obama and the Congressional Democrats.” While other pollsters, such as Gallup and CBS News, found stimulus support rising as high as 60 percent, Rasmussen never saw it rise above 45 percent. It was the only pollster to find support for the plan falling below opposition, in a poll conducted on February 2 and 3. Not only did Bill Kristol get an early look at the data and use it to make the case against the plan, Republicans such as Rep. Mike Pence (R-Ind.) cited Rasmussen to argue that support for the Democratic version of the stimulus was tumbling. At a Feb. 10 briefing, Pence quibbled with a reporter who cited Gallup instead of Rasmussen.

“If we’re gonna talk polls for a minute,” said Pence, “and in the communications shop at a conference we occasionally look at polls, is support for the stimulus bill has been dropping ever week since it was first introduced. I expect there’ll be more polls that come out that demonstrate that public support is continuing to drop using the same methods and the same research.” A poll being conducted that day and the day after would actually reveal that President Obama’s campaign for the stimulus was driving its support back up into the mid-40s. Still, the Rasmussen poll, buttressing other media polls that showed stimulus support lagging the president’s own ratings, was invaluable to Republican arguments that they were standing with the country against an unpopular bill.

Scott Rasmussen is well aware of how Republicans use his polling to make their arguments. “Republicans right now are citing our polls more than Democrats because it’s in their interest to do so,” he said on Monday. “I would not consider myself a political conservative — that implies an alignment with Washington politics that I don’t think I have.”

Suck it up, Sanchez… you’ve been had if you think you can compare ABC/WaPo to the pros and their track record.

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Wow, look at this, in little over a month Obama’s support in his own party has dropped from 85% Approval to 50%, I’m sure FOX had to somehow be connected with this downward spiral. Democrats must be watching FOX.

October 22, 2009: Fifty percent (50%) of Democrats Strongly Approve while 66% of Republicans Strongly Disapprove of his performance. Among those not affiliated with either major political party, 18% Strongly Approve and 42% Strongly Disapprove.

October 14, 2009: Eighty-five percent (85%) of Democrats approve. Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Republicans disapprove as do 61% of voters not affiliated with either major party.

September 14, 2009: Eighty-four percent (84%) of Democrats approve while 78% of Republican disapprove. As for those not affiliated with either major party, 43% offer a positive assessment and 56% give a negative review.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/demographic_notes_barack_obama_approval_index

Rasmussen’s track record:

“….an analysis by Pollster.com partner Charles Franklin “found that despite identically sized three-day samples, the Rasmussen daily tracking poll is less variable than Gallup.” During Election 2008, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll was the least volatile of all those tracking the race. That stability is one reason that Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight.com said that the Rasmussen tracking poll “would probably be the one I’d want with me on a desert island.”

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

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Hmm.

If 20% call themselves Repubs, and Obama’s approval numbers are 50-55% this says more about the disgust Demo’s have for their “man”, than anything else.

G.W. Bush’s highest numbers were 90%, while Obama has never cracked 70%. (and never will)

Dirty Sanchez is so drunk on Koolaid, that he thinks 9 months equals 8 years…

Let’s extrapolate, shall we? (Using Gallup’s numbers)

Bush dropped 65 points in 96 months. (High=90, Low=25)

Obama dropped 19 points in 9 months. (High= 69, Low=50)

96 divided by 9 equals 10.66 “Equalized-Obama-in-Office-Units”.

19 Point drop times 10.66 EOiOU’s equals 202.66 theoretical dropped points after 8 years.

Therefore, by Dirty Sanchez’ “logic”, Obama will have a NEGATIVE 102.66 approval rating after 8 years.

For the first time in my life, I find myself agreeing with a brainless liberal.

Stick around Dirty, you’re fun, AND entertaining!

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Let’s all face it. Obama’s a weak, worthless piece of shit.

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So even though only 20% of the country calls itself Republican, pollsters are supposed to compensate for that by making it seem like party identification is equal? Lol! No wonder you guys always quote Rasmussen polls.

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@Mike’s America:

That’s the one Mike! 33% dems to 20% repubs. That poll was also averaged into the Rasmussen polling, you know, the biased one.

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@Dirty Sanchez: Is that the same ABC/WAPO poll which oversampled DEMOCRATS?

Nice try Dirty but you’re only fooling yourself.

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Nine points? Sheesh, that’s nuthin. Bush dropped from 88 percent approvel after 9/11 down to 28 percent approval by the time he left office. And Obama’s approval right now is at 57 percent according to ABC/WaPo which is even higher than his margin of victory on election day. Even if you look at the RealClearPolitics average of polls Obama’s at 52 percent approval which laughingly includes typically biased Fox and Rasmussen polls.

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Hear the crickets from the MSM, they will not mention this in a negative way.

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Obama realizes that Fox News has the largest cable TV audience for people who are interested in news and public issues. Half that audience is made up of Democrats and Independents. His attacks on Fox News are further alienating the millions of non-whacko lefty Dems who realize that there is more to being President than being popular on Rachel Madcows show on MSNBC.

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